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Weather Normalized NCP demand for the Agency was projected using a weather <br /> Load Factor normalized historical average load factor (approximately 56%) <br /> Approach Used to which was applied to MMPA's projected base energy requirements <br /> Project Demand net of conservation. <br /> Details on the inputs and assumptions of the methodology can be <br /> found in Appendix A. <br /> Projected 1.8% MMPA's projected NCP demand growth rate without new <br /> NCP Demand conservation is 1.8%for the 2019-2033 projection period. The <br /> Growth Rate without following graph shows historical and projected MMPA NCP <br /> New Conservation demand requirements for the years 2004 to 2033. The demands <br /> recognize a 2.3% transmission loss factor, and an 8.4% planning <br /> reserve margin. <br /> Minnesota Municipal Power Agency <br /> Historical& Projected Base Member NCP Demand (MW) <br /> Without New Conservation <br /> 600 <br /> 500 <br /> 400 <br /> 300 <br /> 200 <br /> Historical Projected <br /> 100 <br /> 0 <br /> cvO 0. b + ,o <br /> '10 .190 ^�O � n`vff` y0' <br /> New Conservation New conservation measures are assumed to reduce the annual <br /> Assumed to Reduce growth rate of MMPA's NCP requirements by 1.0%. The base case <br /> NCP Demand of 1.3% conservation does not translate into a 1.3% reduction in the <br /> Growth Rate demand growth rate because the requirements for CLP savings <br /> By 1.0% calculations are based upon a lagging 3-year average of MMPA's <br /> power consumption. Section 6 discusses in detail MMPA's current <br /> and future conservation efforts. <br /> 88 <br />