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Projected 0.8% MMPA's projected NCP demand growth rate including new <br /> NCP Demand conservation is 0.8%for the 2019-2033 projection period, shown in <br /> Growth Rate with the table below. <br /> New Conservation <br /> 2019-2033 <br /> NCP Growth Rate <br /> Without New Conservation 1'8% <br /> Effect of Conservation 1.0% <br /> NCP Growth Rate <br /> With New Conservation 0.8% <br /> The following graph shows historical and projected MMPA NCP <br /> demand requirements for the years 2004 to 2033. Both recognize a <br /> 2.3%transmission loss factor, and an 8.4% planning reserve margin. <br /> Minnesota Municipal Power Agency <br /> Historical& Projected Conservation-Adjusted <br /> Member NCP Demand (MW) <br /> 600 <br /> 500 <br /> 400 v <br /> it <br /> 300 <br /> U 1 <br /> 200 <br /> Historical Projected <br /> 100 <br /> 0 <br /> ti0� ti0szc) ti0zot � L� Oak sst, `§` ', "✓ <br /> Coincidence Factor MMPA's demand at the time of MISO's peak(CP demand)was <br /> Approach Used to projected using a coincidence factor approach. An average historical <br /> Project CP Demand coincidence factor(for summer months during the years 2005 to <br /> 2016, approximately 94%) was utilized to obtain MMPA's CP <br /> demand projection. Details on the methodology can be found in <br /> Appendix A. <br /> 89 <br />