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7.3 HRSR 01-04-2016
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7.3 HRSR 01-04-2016
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12/23/2015 9:55:11 AM
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City Government
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HRSR
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1/4/2016
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HOUSING DEMAND ANALYSIS <br />Demand Estimate for Assisted Living Housing <br />Table HD-7 presents our demand calculations for assisted living senior ho <br />2015and 2020. This analysis focuses on the potential private pay/market rate demand for <br />assisted living units. <br />The availability of more intensive support services such as meal <br />care at assisted living facilities usually attracts older, frail <br />Overview of Assisted Living (which is a collaborative research project by the American <br />Association of Homes and Services for the Aging, the American Se <br />National Center for Assisted Living, and National Investment Cen <br />Care Industry), the average age of residents in freestanding assisted living fac <br />in 2008. Hence, the age-qualified market for assisted living is defined as seniors ages <br />over, as we estimate that of the half of demand from seniors und almost all would be <br />from seniors over age 75. In 2010, there were 1,024 seniors age 75 and older in the PMA. <br /> <br />Demand for assisted living housing is need-driven, which reduces the qualified market to only <br />the portion of seniors who need assistance. According to a study completed by the U. S. Census <br />Bureau (2008 panels of the Survey of Income and Program Particip <br />seniors needed assistance with everyday activities (from 25.5% of 75-to-79-year-olds, to 33.6% <br />of 80-to-84-year-olds and 51.6% of 85+ year olds). Applying these percentages to the senior <br />population yields a potential assisted living market of 370 seniors in the PMA. <br /> <br />Due to the supportive nature of assisted living housing, most da <br />monthly rental fees, which allow seniors to spend a higher proportion of t <br />housing with basic services. Therefore, the second step in dete <br />for assisted living housing in the PMA is to identify the income-qualified market based on a <br />seniors ability to pay the monthly rent. We consider seniors i <br />$40,000 or greater to be income-qualified for assisted living senior housing in the PMA. <br />Households with incomes of $40,000 could afford monthly assisted living fees of $3,000 by <br />allocating 90% of their income toward the fees. <br /> <br />According to the 2009 Overview of Assisted Living, the average arrival income of <br />residents in 2008 was $27,260, while the average annual assisted <br />($3,107/month). This data highlights that seniors are spending assisted <br />living and avoid institutional care. Thus, in addition to households with incomes of $40,000 or <br />greater, there is a substantial base of senior households with l- <br />qualify based on assets their homes, in particular. <br /> <br />Sixty-three percent of the age 75+ households in the PMA are homeowners- <br />to-date median resale price of homes in the PMA was $209,975. Seni <br />the median resale price would generate about $197,367 in proceedng costs. With an <br />average monthly fee of $3,000, these proceeds would last just ov <br />living facility, which is longer than the average length of stay <br />92 <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC <br /> <br />
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