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City of Elk River, Minnesota <br />Preliminary Financial Analysis of Blackhawk Woods TIF Application <br />10/03/2013 <br />Page 8 <br />The second step in calculating the return to the Developer is to determine if the operating revenues and expenses <br />are reasonable. <br />The Developer proposes average rental rates of $632 per month for the one - bedroom units and $895 per <br />month for the two bedroom units, The rental rates will be limited based on the requirements of the Tax Credit <br />program and tax increment statutes, assuming tax increment financing is provided to the project <br />® The Developer is assuming operating expenses related to administration, utilities /trash, operations & <br />maintenance, real estate taxes, insurance, and replacement reserves, <br />The third step in performing an internal rate of return analysis is to assume a hypothetical sale of the asset at the end <br />of the pro forma review period, which in this case is 10 years. The use of a hypothetical sale in this analysis is only <br />for purposes of calculating the potential return to the Developer, and is by no means indicative of the likelihood of a <br />sale in Year 10. In order to accurately perform the return analysis all assets have to be converted to a cash position <br />at the end of the pro forma, in order to calculate the return on the initial equity investment, The Developer has <br />indicated they intend to own and lease the building for an extended term greater than the 10 years we analyzed in <br />calculating the return, For the purpose of accounting for the value of the asset in year 10 of the operating pro forma, <br />we used a capitalization rate of 6,5% to determine the development value, <br />The table below shows the result of our pro forma analysis based on the project costs and operating information <br />provided by the Developer, <br />There is no set IRR benchmark that dictates whether a project needs TIF assistance or not, There are general <br />market indicators that determine a project should be "doable" with a 10 -year average return of 10 -20 %. However this <br />is only an indicator and may or may not apply for each individual project, especially in today's market, and there may <br />be other factors impacting the developer's ability to proceed. The developer has stated that the project will not occur <br />without TIF assistance, Therefore, the City should view the IRR calculations as one factor in arriving at a decision for <br />this particular project, <br />An additional measure of project feasibility is the Debt Coverage Ratio (DCR), which is a calculation detailing the <br />ratio by which operating income exceeds the debt - service payments for the project. If the DCR is greater than 1,0 it <br />indicates the project has operating income that is greater than the debt - service payment by some margin; conversely <br />if the DCR is less than 1.0 it indicates the project is incapable of meeting its debt - service payment and would need to <br />seek additional revenue sources in order to pay its debt. Typical lending standards will require a DCR of greater than <br />