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i~ <br />i~ <br />21. Traffic. Parking spaces added Not Necessary for AUAR .Existing spaces (if <br />' project involves expansion) NA . <br />Estimated maximum peak hour traffic generated (if known) and time of <br />occurrence See Table 21-3 <br />' Provide an estimate of the impact on traffic congestion on affected roads and <br />describe any traffic improvements necessary. If the project is within the Twin <br />Cities metropolitan area, discuss its impact on the regional transportation <br />system. <br />Background <br />The 171St Avenue study area is approximately 253 acres located in the southeast <br />portion of Elk River. The study area is bound by the Mississippi River to the west <br />' with State Trunk Highway (TH) 10/169 bisecting the study area running parallel to <br />the river. A mixture of office and industrial land uses run along the northern edge of <br />the study area with high and low density housing and parkland to the northeast. The <br />majority of the land to the east and south of the project area is owned by Cargill <br />Corporation and GRE, of which about half of the land is currently utilized as <br />agricultural research. The remaining land area is comprised of wetlands. <br />The BNSF rail line borders the study area extending from the northwest to the <br />southeast and carries a large number of heavy rail trains each day in addition to <br />Northstar commuter trains. A Northstar station is located to the north of the study <br />area and is located approximately two miles southeast of Downtown Elk River. <br />The following three future land use scenarios are under consideration for the 171St <br />Avenue AUAR area: <br />• Scenario 1: 2004 Comprehensive Plan Future Lane Use Scenario <br />• Scenario 2: Focused Area Study (FAST) Lower Impact Concept <br />• Scenario 3: FAST Higher Impact Concept <br />' Each development scenario contains a mixture of residential and commercial uses <br />as well as a transit center and open space as outlined in the Scenario memo dated <br />' May 20, 2011. Future land development will have a significant impact on the <br />operations of intersections in the project area. Increased trips from future <br />development scenarios will be used to forecast future traffic volumes and evaluate <br />' traffic operations on the roadway system within the study area. <br />Data Collection and Assumptions <br />' Eight key intersections were identified for the existing conditions analysis for the <br />171St Avenue study area. AM and PM peak hours were used as the critical periods <br />for the traffic analysis. Peak hour vehicle counts were obtained at the key <br />' intersections in May 2011. These counts are attached. Current signal timing at the <br />US 10 and 171St Avenue intersection was obtained from Mn/DOT. The eight key <br />intersections include: <br />City of Elk River <br />Draft Alternative Urban Areawide Review <br />July 2011 Page SS of 84 <br />