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C~sPX 2020 <br />INTERIM REPORT <br />DECEMBER 2004 <br />Diagram 8 -Conceptual transmission <br />INITIAL RESULTS <br />Preliminary analysis by the CapX 2020 technical team on the three generation scenarios has <br />identified a significant number of transmission overloads if no additional transmission is built <br />to serve the projected 6,300 megawatts in new generation needed by 2020 to meet growth in <br />customer demand. The team currently is simulating the loss of single transmission elements <br />to assist in the determination of transmission alternatives to address violations of North <br />American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) criteria (low voltages and overloaded <br />facilities) that would occur. Table 5 shows overloaded transmission facilities in Base 2020 <br />models. <br />28 <br />