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5.4. ERMUSR 02-20-2007
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5.4. ERMUSR 02-20-2007
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2/20/2007
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CAPX 2020 <br />INTERIM REPORT' <br />DECEMBER 2004 <br />;~~ improvements to be developed in a timely, efficient manner consistent with the public <br />F ~ interest. <br />Attachment D provides more detail on these technical studies, while Attachment E <br />summarizes our on-going review of state planning and regulatory issues. <br />~'' PRELIMINARY RESULTS <br />~ ~~ <br />Preliminary results from these studies show that the current transmission system will not <br />support the forecasted need for new generation facilities to meet projected customer demand. <br />Absent new investment in transmission facilities, our preliminary analysis anticipates <br />significant line and equipment overloads by 2020, assuming customer requirements develop <br />. as projected. These overloads occur under even the most optimistic scenario that has all <br />major transmission lines and equipment in service. Many more overloads occur when other <br />1 ` ' facilities must be removed from service because of storm damage, for routine maintenance or <br />~ for any other reason. <br />Under the Vision Study, we are considering several possible scenarios of generation <br />development and the transmission additions needed to serve each. Comparing the resulting <br />plans will allow us to identify the projects needed to reinforce the grid regardless of how <br />generation develops. All told, the study is examining approximately 3,300 miles of <br />additional transmission facilities with an estimated cost of $2.7 billion. While all of these <br />facilities may not be needed to address the customer needs in 2020, CapX 2020 believes it is <br />important to identify for stakeholders the magnitude of investment and projects under review. <br />Preliminary findings from the Red River Valley study recommend short-term upgrades to <br />ensure reliability in the near future and along-term system solution. While work has already <br />begun on many of the short-term upgrades, the best long-term alternative includes a new 345 <br />kilovolt line from Fargo, N.D., to St. Cloud, Minn., and a 230 kilovolt line from Bemidji, <br />Minn., to Grand Rapids, Minn. Our further study will confirm whether this project is still <br />the best long-term solution. <br />NEXT STEPS <br />CapX 2020 is committed to making the necessary investments to upgrade the grid that <br />delivers power to customers. We agree now is the time to strengthen the electricity system's <br />backbone, before new power plants are constructed and in time to meet customer needs. <br />Our next steps include: <br />• Completion of the technical studies in May 2005. <br />• Dialogue with policymakers and stakeholders regarding the CapX 2020 studies and state <br />process issues. <br />• Outreach to other transmission providers to share information and collaborate on <br />solutions. <br />6 <br />
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