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ERMUSR MISC MEMO 02-12-2008
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ERMUSR MISC MEMO 02-12-2008
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U.S.Foresb Havelncreased <br />40•/. iA SA Years <br />1"' >1N <br />rR M <br />.o <br />aU <br />a ,,,, <br />o <br />3 7~ <br />E AO <br />19N lf'M 11tN 1~ 2~p0 <br />Year <br />Figure 22: Inventories of standing hardwood and softwood timber in the <br />United States compiled in Forest Resources of the United States, 2002, U.S. <br />Depaztrnent of Agriculture Forest Service (111,112). The linear trend cited <br />in 1998 (1) with an increase of 30% has continued. The increase is now <br />40%. The amount of U.S. timber is rising almost 1% per yeaz. <br />taken place since 1950. Much of this increase is due to the increase in <br />atmospheric CO2 that has already occurred. In addition, it has been <br />reported that Amazonian rain forests are increasing their vegetation <br />by about 900 pounds of carbon per acre per year (113), or <br />approximately 2 tons of biomass per acre per year. Trees respond to <br />CO2 fertilization more strongly than do most other plants, but all <br />plants respond to some extent. <br />Since plant response to CO2 fertilization is nearly linear with re- <br />spect to CO2 concentration over the range from 300 to 600 ppm, as <br />seen in Figure 23, experimental measurements at different levels of <br />CO2 enrichment can be extrapolated. This has been done in Figure <br />24 in order to illustrate CO2 growth enhancements calculated for the <br />atmospheric increase of about 88 ppm that has already taken place <br />and those expected from a projected total increase of 305 ppm. <br />Wheat growth is accelerated by increased atmospheric CO2, espe- <br />cially under dry conditions. Figure 24 shows the response of wheat <br />grown under wet conditions versus that of wheat stressed by lack of <br />water. The underlying data is from open-field experiments. Wheat <br />was grown in the usual way, but the atmospheric CO2 concentrations <br />of circular sections of the fields were increased by arrays of com- <br />d <br />6 <br />d <br />u <br />C <br />as <br />s <br />C <br />W <br />r <br />3 <br />L <br />V <br />0 <br />u <br />L <br />d <br />a <br />teo~ O Resource-limited and Stressed <br />• Not Resource-limited or Stressed <br />t40 <br />rpp <br />48 <br />300 tip0 X00 1200 1 S00 <br />Atmospheric COz Enrichment ppm <br />Figure 23: Summary data from 279 published experiments in which plants <br />of all types were grown under paired stressed (open red circles) and un- <br />stressed (closed blue circles) conditions (114). There were 208, 50, and 21 <br />sets at 300, 600, and an average of about 1350 ppm CO2, respectively. The <br />plant mixture in the 279 studies was slightly biased toward plant types that <br />respond less to COZ fertilization than does the actual global mixture. There- <br />fore, the figure underestimates the expected global response. COZ enrich- <br />ment also allows plants to grow in drier regrons, further increasing the <br />response. <br />puter-controlled equipment that released CO2 into the air to hold the <br />levels as specified (115,116). Orange and young pine tree growth en- <br />hancement (117-119) with two atmospheric CO2 increases -that <br />which has already occurred since 1885 and that projected for the next <br />two centuries - is also shown. The relative growth enhancement of <br />trees by CO2 diminishes with age. Figure 24 shows young trees. <br />Figure 23 summarizes 279 experiments in which plants of various <br />types were raised under CO2-enhanced conditions. Plants under <br />stress from less-than-ideal conditions - a common occurrence in na- <br />ture -respond more to COz fertilization. The selections of species in <br />Figure 23 were biased toward plants that respond less to CO2 fertil- <br />ization than does the mixture actually covering the Earth, so Figure <br />23 underestimates the effects of global CO2 enhancement. <br />Clearly, the green revolution in agriculture has already benefitted <br />from CO2 fertilization, and benefits in the future will be even greater. <br />Animal life is increasing proportionally, as shown by studies of 51 <br />terrestrial (120) and 22 aquatic ecosystems (121). Moreover, as <br />shown by a study of 94 terrestrial ecosystems on all continents ex- <br />B <br />a <br />a <br />N <br />O <br />0 <br />z <br />4a0 <br />asp a ~ 295 ppm CO= <br />t 3>e3 ppm C02 <br />3~ <br />250 <br />2a0 <br />72`/• <br />lsp 37% 3z'/• <br />11•/. 4•/. <br />lip <br />so <br />0 <br />Dry Wheat Wet Wheat Oraa~es taraa~e Trees Yeaae <br />rtae Trees <br />4~0 <br />a 33p h ~ 29S ppm C02 248Y• <br />a t 60, ppln C02 <br />N 3~ <br />zso 13N/. <br />111% <br />~ z~0 <br />Z 1~ ~% o <br />c 15 /• <br />~ la0 <br />Ow <br />0 <br />Dry Wbeat Wet Wheat Oraaxes Oraa~e Tress Yom <br />Mae Trees <br />Figure 24: Calculated (1,2) growth rate enhancement of wheat, young or- <br />ange trees, and very young pine h~ees already taking place as a result of at- <br />mospheric enrichment by COZ from 1885 to 2007 (a), and expected as a <br />result of atmospheric enrichment by COZ to a level of 600 ppm (b). <br />cept Antazctica (122), species richness - biodiversity - is more posi- <br />tivelycorrelated with productivity -the total quantity of plant life per <br />acre -than with anything else. <br />Atmospheric C02 is required for life by both plants and animals. <br />It is the sole source of carbon in all of the protein, carbohydrate, fat, <br />and other organic molecules of which living things are constructed. <br />Plants extract carbon from atmospheric CO2 and are thereby fer- <br />tilized. Animals obtain their carbon from plants. Without atmo- <br />spheric COz, none of the life we see on Earth would exist. <br />Water, oxygen, and carbon dioxide aze the three most important <br />substances that make life possible. <br />They are surely not environmental pollutants. <br />-9- <br />
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