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4.0 HPSR 12-08-2005
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4.0 HPSR 12-08-2005
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<br />but once you've built the building the job creation is done." Yes, but there are two responses <br />to that. First, real estate is a capital asset - like a drill press or a boxcar. It has an economic <br />impact during construction, but a subsequent economic impact when it is in productive use. <br />Additionally, however, since most building components have a life of between 25 and 40 <br />years, a community could rehabilitate 2 to 3 percent of its building stock per year and have <br />perpetual employment in the building trades. And these jobs can't be shipped overseas. Nor <br />are they jobs that exist only as a result of self-defeating protectionism. <br />Now there are some economists and politicians who would argue that in economic down <br />turns public expenditures should be made to create employment. And I'm certainly not <br />going to argue with that. And as you all know, among politicians' favorite forms of public <br />works is building highways. <br />David Listokin at the Center for Urban Policy Research at Rutgers has calculated the <br />relative impact of public works. Let's say a level of government spends $1 million building <br />a highway. (And these days that means a highway not quite the length of this room) but <br />anyway a million dollar highway -what does that mean? 34 jobs, $1.2 million in ultimate <br />household income, $100,000 in state taxes and $85,000 in local taxes. <br />Or we could build a new building for $1 million. 36 jobs, $1,223,000 in household income, <br />$103, 000 in state taxes and $86,000 in local taxes. Or we could spend that million <br />rehabilitating an historic building. 38 jobs, a million three in household income, $110,000 in <br />state taxes and $92,000 in local taxes. Now you tell me which is the most economically <br />impacting in public works projects. <br />Another area that consistently emerges as a major component of preservation's economic <br />impact is heritage tourism. Ask someone who is in the business of economic analysis and <br />they'll tell you how tricky trying to figure out exactly what "tourism expenditures" are. I <br />live in Washington, D.C. If I rent a car and drive to New York City for a weekend is the toll <br />on the Jersey Turnpike a tourism expenditure or not? Well, I'm not an expert in econometric <br />modeling, so I've avoiding trying to calculate composite numbers. Instead, I've simply <br />looked at the incremental difference between the expenditures of heritage visitors and other <br />types of tourists. Virginia is one of the states that subscribe to a giant survey database that <br />questions households about did they travel, where, how much did they spend, etc. The data <br />is sortable. So in a study a few years ago we sorted out the patterns of heritage visitors. We <br />defined heritage visitors as those who did one or more of the following: visited a museum <br />(in Virginia around 90% of the museums are history museums), visited a Civil War <br />battlefield, or visited an historic site. And we contrasted those patterns with visitors to <br />Virginia who did none of those things. Here's what we found: heritage visitors stay longer, <br />visit twice as many places, and on a per trip basis spend 2 '/z times as much money as other <br />visitors. Wherever heritage tourism has been evaluated this basic tendency is observed: <br />heritage visitors stay longer, spend more per day and, therefore, have a significantly greater <br />per trip economic impact. <br />Now I said that I've never tried to estimate total tourism dollars, but there are lots of people <br />smarter than I who have. The University of Florida in conjunction with Rutgers did an <br />
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