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NORTHSTAR CORRIDOR
<br />PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE TERMINI Original Cost Model
<br /> Late 2000 Fuel Costs
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<br /> RICE E. ST. CLOUD BIG LAKE ELK RIVER
<br />CHARACTERISTIC TO MPLS TO MPLS TO MPLS TO MPLS
<br />Length (Miles) 79.9 64.5 38.8 28.2
<br /># of Stations 12 11 8 7
<br />Average Daily 2020 Rail Ridership 10,829 10,724 10,201 9,627
<br />Average Daily 2020 Bus Ridership 276,711 276,711 277,138 277,238
<br />Total 2020 transit riders 287,540 287,435 287,339 286,865
<br />Capital Cost(2004$) $ 227,367,941 $ 221,451,553 $ 199,401,786 $ 195,854,104
<br />O&MCost-Rail(2004$) $ 13,910,219 $ 12,168,030 $ 9,561,188 $ 8,416,374
<br />O&M Cost- Bus(2004$) $ 872,655 $ 942,701 $ 1,339,628 $ 1,361,518
<br />Annualized Capital Cost $ 16,360,347 $ 15,953,722 $ 14,544,720 $ 14,292,258
<br />TotalAnnual Cost $ 31,143,221 $ 29,064,454 $ 25,445,536 $ 24,070,149
<br />Cost Effectiveness (CEI) RE: No-Build $ 9.84 $ 9.27 $ 8.20 $ 8.12
<br />Cost Effectiveness (CEI) RE: TSM $ 13.60 $ 12.61 $ 10.63 $ 10.72
<br />Annualized cost per rail rider $ 9.59 $ 9.03 $ 8.31 $ 8.33
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<br />BRW, Inc.
<br />NOTES:
<br /> 1. Rail and bus ridership estimated by KPMG
<br />2. Bus O&M costs assume comparable bus service between Rice and rail terminus
<br /> from 2-4-00 and 12-8-00 memo from Manuel Padron & Associates
<br /> Feeder bus to Big Lake assumes 4 new buses; to Elk River assumes 4 new buses.
<br />3. Capital costs for stations and maintenance facility from 10-21-99 Capital Cost Estimate (BRW, Inc.)
<br /> Capital costs for improvements north of Big Lake ($6.1 million) excluded from Big Lake and Elk River analyses.
<br /> Capital costs for Big Lake and Elk River exclude station costs north of the terminus
<br /> Includes revised capital costs to Rice lay-up from LTK email dated 1-6-01
<br />Capital costs for Rice include an additional $1.7 million in rail capital costs
<br />Clear Lake Station excluded from all capital costs.
<br />4. Rail O&M costs from 1-12-01 O&M Costs estimates by Manuel Padron & Associates
<br />5. Annual cost is the sum of 2004 bus and rail O&M cost and annualized 1999 capital cost per FTA Newstarts Guidance
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<br />1/24/01
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<br />R:\Forecast~Nstar~MOS\5Trainsets\[costeff2.xls]MOS SUMMARY
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