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Project Approach, Page 10 <br />Project Approach - Section 3 <br />Identify what barriers exist that limit potential connections such as existing railroads or parcels that <br />need to be avoided <br />Review additional connections, changes to connections, or potential alignments that may benefit the <br />transportation system. <br />The study will include visually appealing and easy to understand graphics that summarize the key <br />principles discussed above. These graphics will be critical to developing reasonable corridor <br />alignments for further study. <br />Crash Analysis <br />We will evaluate the corridor and intersections for safety and operational issues. A crash analysis, using <br />five years of historic crash data from Minnesota Crash Mapping Analysis Tool (MnCMAT), will be <br />completed to understand existing baseline conditions. Crash rates will be calculated at all study <br />intersections to understand crash trends. Crash data will be used to complete the signal warrant analyses in <br />accordance with MnMUTCD. Locations with significant crash concerns will be reviewed to identify <br />appropriate mitigation measures. The findings of the existing conditions, crash, and warrant analyses will <br />be documented in the Existing Traffic Operations, Signal Warrant, and Safety Memo. <br />Future Volume Forecasting and Intersection Analysis <br />Through input from agency staff, Kimley-Horn will develop 5- and 20-year traffic projections <br />for the study area considering: <br />Long-Term Commuter Growth – Based on the traffic forecasting we performed for the Twin Lakes <br />Road/Yale Street Extension Preliminary Design project. We will review available traffic <br />studies and transportation plans and update the background growth rates as required. <br />Local Development Growth –We will utilize the future corridor development meetings to verify <br />and gain the best possible understanding of potential development along the corridor. This <br />information will be used to make sure the forecast horizons include this growth. <br />Changes in Traffic Patterns – Some of the intersection control/alignment concepts developed will <br />impact traffic patterns. Traffic forecasts will be summarized in a Traffic Volume Forecasting <br />Memo. <br />Using the 5- and 20-year traffic volume forecasts, Kimley-Horn will perform a No-Action analysis to <br />determine future baseline conditions at the study intersections. The results of this analysis will help guide <br />recommended improvements at the study intersections to achieve acceptable operating conditions. <br />Measures of effectiveness reported will be the same as the existing conditions analysis. <br />Using the results of the No-Action analysis and sound transportation engineering principles, we will <br />develop five intersection control/realignment alternatives for the intersections identified in the RFP. <br />The No-Action model will be modified to create future build models for each concept. The build models <br />will be used to test and refine the concepts to make sure concepts will serve forecast traffic volumes at an <br />acceptable level of service. A sensitivity analysis will be performed to determine the resiliency of the <br />concepts developed. <br />7.4 Existing and Future Conditions Analysis <br />Conceptual aerial layouts and cost estimates will be prepared for each alternative identified for the <br />project. A decision matrix will be developed to clearly compare alternatives to assist the Project