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NCP Demand Was MMPA's Non-Coincident Peak (NCP) demand requirements were <br /> Projected Using a projected by applying a weather normalized load factor to the <br /> Weather Normalized Agency's energy projections. This weather normalized load factor <br /> Load Factor of 55.9%was calculated as the average of annual weather <br /> normalized load factors from 2011 to 2017. The average load factor <br /> was then applied to the conservation-adjusted energy projections to <br /> obtain MMPA's projected NCP demand. <br /> Demand at MISO's MMPA's demand at the time of MISO's peak(CP demand)was <br /> Annual Coincident projected by applying a coincidence factor to the Agency's NCP <br /> Peak Was Projected projections. This coincidence factor of 93.9% was calculated as the <br /> Using A Coincidence average of monthly summer(June-September)coincidence factors <br /> Factor Approach from June 2005 to September 2016. The average coincidence factor <br /> was then applied to the NCP demand projections to obtain MMPA's <br /> projected CP demand. <br /> CP Demand Was Like the energy projections, CP demand projections were reduced <br /> Adjusted for WAPA- by the capacity that WAPA supplies to two MMPA member cities. <br /> Supplied Capacity These WAPA allocations were assumed to remain at the current <br /> contract levels throughout the projection period. <br /> Capacity The Agency's total capacity requirements are calculated by adding <br /> Requirements transmission system losses (2.3%) and planning reserve margin <br /> Include Losses and requirements (8.4%)to the projected CP demand requirements. <br /> Reserves <br /> MMPA's entire load is in MISO Zone 1 and currently serves load in <br /> two Local Balancing Authorities(LBAs). The vast majority of <br /> MMPA's load is in the NSP LBA, where transmission losses are <br /> 2.4%. The remainder of MMPA's load is in the OTP LBA, with <br /> transmission losses of 3.1%. In October 2018, MMPA will begin <br /> serving Elk River load in the GRE LBA, which currently has <br /> transmission losses of 1.4%. For the purposes of this IRP, the <br /> Agency assumes aggregate 2.3%transmission losses. <br /> MISO's planning reserve margin requirement is expected to be 8.4% <br /> in planning year 2018. For long term planning purposes, a planning <br /> reserve margin of 8.4% was used. <br /> 115 <br />