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Higher Transmission This IRP assumes a 2.3%transmission loss factor for the projection <br /> Losses Would period. Historically,transmission losses have varied by MISO Zone, <br /> Increase Capacity Local Balancing Area(LBA), and planning year. <br /> Needs <br /> MMPA's entire load is in MISO Zone 1. The Agency currently <br /> serves load in two LBAs within Zone 1. The vast majority of <br /> MMPA's load is in the NSP LBA, where transmission losses are <br /> 2.4%. The remainder of MMPA's load is in the OTP LBA, with <br /> transmission losses of 3.1%. In October 2018, MMPA will begin <br /> serving Elk River load in the GRE LBA, with transmission losses of <br /> 1.4%. For the purposes of this IRP,the Agency assumes aggregate <br /> 2.3% transmission losses. <br /> Future increases in transmission losses would increase MMPA's <br /> capacity needs. <br /> Higher Generation An increased generation forced outage rate, as measured by <br /> Forced Outage Rate equivalent demand forced outage rate (EFORd), would decrease the <br /> Would Reduce capacity market credits MMPA would receive for its generation <br /> Recognized Capacity resources. EFORds for the planning horizon were based on the <br /> resource-specific EFORds for the 2018-19 planning year. If <br /> EFORds increase during the planning horizon, MMPA's capacity <br /> requirements would increase. Conversely, if EFORds decrease, <br /> MMPA's capacity requirements would decrease. <br /> MMPA's Energy, The table below summarizes MMPA's energy,NCP demand, and <br /> NCP Demand,And CP demand projections from 2019 to 2033. The energy projections <br /> CP Demand have been adjusted for conservation and WAPA allocations. The <br /> Projections NCP and CP projections have been adjusted for these same factors, <br /> as well as for transmission losses and the MISO PRM. <br /> 93 <br />