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Lower CIP Savings MMPA continues its successful conservation improvement program <br /> Would Increase and strives to meet its CIP goals in the future. However, planning <br /> Energy Requirements processes need to take into consideration the uncertainties associated <br /> with longer-term effectiveness of CIP programs and the possibility <br /> of diminishing returns. <br /> This IRP contemplates three conservation rate cases for planning <br /> purposes: <br /> • 1.0% Low Case <br /> • 1.3% Base Case <br /> • 1.5% High Case <br /> Lower CIP savings in the future would increase energy <br /> requirements. The following chart shows MMPA's energy <br /> requirements for the three CIP savings cases: <br /> Minnesota Municipal Power Agency <br /> Projected Conservation-Adjusted Member Energy(MWh) <br /> 2,300,000 <br /> 2,200,000 <br /> 2.100.000 <br /> 2,000,000 <br /> 1,900.000 <br /> 0 1,800.000 <br /> 1,700.000 <br /> 1,600,000 -4-1.0%Conservation <br /> —�-1.3%Conservation <br /> 1,500,000 1.5°O Conservation <br /> 1,400,000 <br /> ^O�b s,, ^OlO tib^`��1,�01^>'19 "9 <br /> n�ti��o1''19 '19 <br /> �or14 19 '19 <br /> �On�O ti�^`�O� ^;') <br /> '19 <br /> MMPA's CIP efforts and corresponding results are discussed in <br /> Section 6. <br /> Lower Population Slower population growth correlates with slower load growth in the <br /> Growth Rate Would energy projections. Historical and projected population compounded <br /> Lower Electric Load annual growth rates (CAGR) for MMPA member cities are shown <br /> Growth in the table below. Projections are based on Woods and Poole long <br /> term growth rates. Population growth rates are projected to be lower <br /> 84 <br />