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City of Elk River, Minnesota <br />Tax Increment Applications for Proposed Jackson Hill Residential Suites Housing Project and <br />Elk River Lodge and Residential Suites, LLC <br />January 25, 2018 <br />Page 7 <br />Developer Pro forma But -For Analysis <br />In approving a TIF district and project, the City must make several findings, including the "but for" test: that the <br />proposed development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private investment within the <br />reasonably foreseeable future. The developer has provided financial information showing that the operating cash <br />flow requires financial assistance from the City to reduce the amount of debt and equity necessary to finance total <br />project costs, as provided through the annual tax increment revenues from the projects, and provide a reasonable <br />return on investment. The City also received letters from the anticipated financial lenders for both projects indicating <br />that tax increment financing was necessary to obtain financing. The developer has stated the assistance is <br />necessary due to the costs of developing the site as affordable housing and inability of the projects to support those <br />costs upon completion. Based on the developer's stated position relative to the need for tax increment financing <br />assistance, the City could make its "but for" finding and provide tax increment assistance. <br />We recommend, however, that the City also consider an appropriate level and type of TIF assistance for the project <br />based on the information submitted by the developer. The City's position relative to the use of tax increment will <br />focus on financing of the extraordinary costs with a limited term of assistance. The level of assistance is in part <br />dictated by the `extraordinary' costs of the project and inability of the project to support those costs. Initial <br />discussions about the project indicate the assistance would be provided as reimbursement to assist the developer <br />with the development of affordable housing in the community and a reduction in rental income resulting from the <br />affordable housing units. <br />Following thorough evaluation of the project as provided allows the City to be prepared to make an informed "but -for" <br />decision based on the likelihood of the project needing assistance, as well as the appropriate level of assistance. <br />The "but -for" test is used to determine whether a project is likely to proceed as proposed without the use of public <br />dollars. Without the requested amount of tax increment assistance (15 years of TIF from the new project), the test is <br />to determine if the proposed Jackson Hills site would be developed as an affordable housing project with at least <br />20% of the units occupied at 50% of the area median income. And alternatively, without assistance, review how the <br />project would be constructed, if at all, and/or at non -income restricted levels or reduced amenities to lower project <br />costs. The but -for test for the Elk River Lodge site is also to determine if the project as proposed would proceed but - <br />for the City assistance. In the application for assistance, the developer has listed the planned improvements for the <br />project site. It is our understanding that some of those improvements have commenced and are required by City <br />code. The determination for the need for assistance (remaining 10 years of TIF from the Jackson Hills new project) <br />is based on the likelihood of the project proceeding as proposed. This includes both the financing of the identified <br />improvements, some of which may be required, as well as providing affordable housing units, as necessary to meet <br />the definition of a housing project. <br />We also reviewed varying documents including the developer's provided operating proforma and financial statements <br />and also constructed similar ten-year project proformas, showing a result if the developer received assistance as <br />pay-as-you-go (reimbursement for TIF eligible costs) and showing a result if the developer did not receive assistance. <br />Our analysis of the proformas included a review of the development budget, projected operating revenues and <br />