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<br />2.5 <br /> <br />Refine Ridership Projections <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The commuter rail ridership projections prepared in the Phase I MIS will be refined for <br />both opening day of service and the Year 2020. An adequate level of detail for the travel <br />forecasting model is essential to differentiate key market areas and patronage potential <br />trade-offs between the alternatives and the design alternative. Additionally, special event <br />ridership will be assessed. From a technical perspective, the following detailed modeling <br />issues must be addressed. <br /> <br />. Land use assumptions for areas within adjacent stations need to reflect community <br />consensus and realistic market-oriented zoning based on officially adopted long range <br />plans. <br />. Level of zonal and network detail should accurately represent the different mode of <br />access options (e.g., walk, bus, park-and-ride, and drop off). <br />. A TSM Alternative must be represented that is politically and financially as a point of <br />comparison. <br />. The Build Alternative represented in the model (commuter rail) should reflect a <br />feeder bus system that is financially achievable to secure Ff A approval. <br /> <br />Outputs from the refinement of the ridership projections will include the following <br />variables. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. Daily and peak ridership <br />. Boardings and alightings and each station <br />. Individual link volumes <br />. Station-to-station volumes <br />. Average speed and trip length comparisons <br />. Transfer incidence and patterns <br />. Feeder bus ridership <br />. Diversion of auto trips to transit <br />. Auto trip access to stations <br />. Peak-hour transit trips by mode and line <br /> <br />Additionally, travel model related indices will be prepared for submittal to the FfA and <br />will include travel time savings, incremental trips, passenger miles, and passenger hours. <br /> <br />2.6 Financial Plan <br /> <br />The financial plan will define the following: <br /> <br />. Revenue stream required for capital costs. <br />. Revenue stream required for the operating costs. <br />. Candidate revenue sources including innovative sources, from federal, state, <br />regional, and local governments. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Draft Work Program for Northstar Corridor MIS and EIS <br />For the Proposed Commuter Rail Service <br />January 29, 1999 <br /> <br />6 <br />Work Program <br />