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The Kiplinger Letter <br /> FORECASTS FOR MANAGEMENT DECISIONMAKING <br /> 1729 H St. NW, Washington, DC 20006-3938 • KiplingerForecasts.com •Vol. 80, No.41 <br /> Dear Client: Washington, Oct. 10, 2003 <br /> More hiring, starting next spring, INSIDE THIS LETTER <br /> spells more job options for workers. • <br /> After three years of issuing pink slips, Politics Calit, Democrats on taxes <br /> businesses will once again be on the prowl Business Law High court cases <br /> for good workers. And in a rejuvenated economy <br /> that will create about 100,000 jobs a month, Asbestos Claims No trust fund <br /> employees may see greener pastures elsewhere. Cost of Living Inflation outlook <br /> LABOR Your key workers will be most tempted. Energy What you'll pay this winter <br /> MARKETS Middle managers, top sales performers <br /> and people you rely on to run your computers Health Care Medicare,reservists <br /> will seek higher pay and better opportunities. The Economy A weaker dollar <br /> Most squeezed: High-tech electronics, <br /> nanotechnology, biotech, medical equipment Mideast Politics Tackling Syria <br /> and computer firms. Plus many manufacturers. <br /> Current shortages of skilled workers will become more severe. <br /> Especially hurt: Steel. Power plants. Automakers. Telecommunications. <br /> Food processors. Health care providers. Trucking. Drug and RV makers. <br /> Taking steps now to hang on to employees is bound to be scary. <br /> It may mean absorbing higher costs before business really picks up. <br /> But it will pay off later in fewer headaches and lost chances. <br /> Consider raising salaries. Compensation is the No. 1 gripe <br /> in surveys of workers who have had three years of raises averaging 3.5%. <br /> That's a sharp shift from previous recoveries, when the chief motivators <br /> for job-hopping were lack of advancement chances and dislike of bosses. <br /> Target bonuses to make better use of meager compensation budgets. <br /> Base them on merit and achievement and not just on length of service. <br /> Now is the time to let valued employees know that you appreciate them. <br /> Try not to overburden your workforce with health insurance costs, <br /> even if it means swallowing more of a double-digit hike than you'd like. <br /> Make flexibility the watchword for revamping benefit plans. <br /> "One size fits all" can't meet the needs of three generations of workers. <br /> Most desired: Infant and elder care, career development and tuition aid. <br /> Offer part-time work to older employees who want to ease into retirement. <br /> Remember that turnover can also be an opportunity for a company <br /> to bring on board new talent with fresh ideas and skills it now lacks. <br /> So get back in touch with old networks and rev up the recruiting engine. <br /> And plan for the long haul. The shortages won't go away. <br /> Baby-boomer retirements, lower birthrates and new limits on immigration <br /> in the wake of 9/11 all point to a scarcity of workers for years to come. <br /> At current graduation rates, colleges will award 7 million fewer degrees <br /> than will be needed to replace 8 million graduates who will likely retire <br /> and to fill the 22 million white-collar jobs that will be added by 2013. <br /> The Hip4tger Lefler OSSN 1528-71301 Is Published weeny kr Winne year,$15Awo years.5.22 Three years Subscnp6on inquiries:800-544-0155 or subservietili tiger e, <br /> by The Kip'Inger Washington Editors.1729 H St..NW.Washington.DC 20006.3938. <br /> POSThab Postagemi a at Washington,DC. <br /> Editorial ets@klla110n: Tel,2028B76a62;Far.N2-1188918; <br /> POSTMASTER'.Send address mangos to The Kirsiniger Loner,P O.Box 3295,Harlan.IA 51593. email Iefte,s,akkipAngeiOJm:of Web Si19.K1p5rgerfursuasts.mn <br />