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6 U.S. Population <br /> Diversity increases as our population continues to grow <br /> Demographic changes shape consumer mar- <br /> kets through gradual shifts in the age, racial <br /> and ethnic makeup of our population. Each <br /> change brings opportunities and pitfalls for business. <br /> What is good for some businesses might have a <br /> negative effect on the profits of others. A product or <br /> service aimed at a particular group can expect growth A 4,„:„,...: . ,.- y ,. rt <br /> if that group expands or find itself in trouble if the <br /> group contracts. <br /> Focusing on the Future ;,. , A' �,.• <br /> Knowing about population trends and what they `" "'" <br /> mean for you and your business will help prepare you jt ` <br /> ; P h <br /> for changes in the years to come. <br /> It is the basis for sound planning and is often the <br /> P g li aj <br />- key ingredient in developing products, crafting mar- <br /> keting strategies and setting goals. C . d1 <br /> Continuing growth in the U.S. population is as- °" J <br /> cured for the near future, although the rate of growth ll <br /> is slowing somewhat. <br /> it' <br /> BY 2015, 40 MILLION MORE AMERICANS are going to <br /> need shelter, food,health care, education, transporta- <br /> tion and more. Roughly 3.5 million people a year will <br /> be added, raising total U.S. population from 293 mil- <br />_ lion in 2003 to 315 million in 2010 and 333 million in <br /> 2015. most 24 million in 2015. <br /> Here's an overview of what to expect based on <br /> census data and projections by NPA Data Services of SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN—those between five and 19— <br /> Arlington,Va. will also increase by 3 million, rising from 63 million <br /> in 2004 to 66 million in 2015. <br /> Shifting Age Groups <br /> Expect major changes among age groups over the YOUNG EARNERS AND CONSUMERS-20-34—will in- <br /> next decade. crease by 8 million by 2015, reaching nearly 70 mil- <br /> The biggest changes will come as baby boomers lion. Those in the youngest years of this age group <br /> —people born between 1946 and 1964—move into are going to be attending college either full- or part- <br />' and through middle time. <br /> age and the oldest AGING POPULATION <br /> reach senior citizen 15% EARLY SAVERS AND PRIME SPENDERS-35-54—are <br /> status. 14% headed for modest gains. They constitute the bulk of <br /> 13% the baby boomers, and their numbers are going to <br /> INFANTS AND 12% r rise by about 700,000 to just under 87 million in 2015. <br /> PRE-SCHOOLERS— 11% <br /> %ot Total Population <br /> children up to 4 years —Seniors(age 504., YOUNG EMPTY-NESTERS—those who are 55 to 64—will <br /> 10% —Empty Nesters(age 5569) <br /> old—are going to in- be far more numerous. Their numbers will increase <br /> crease from about 20 9 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 by more than 12 million and will total nearly 41 mil- <br />. million in 2004 to al- source:NPA Oats Services lion in 2015. <br /> 12 I The Kiplinger Letter • KiplingerForecasts.com <br />