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INFORMATION #2 EDSR 08-14-2006
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INFORMATION #2 EDSR 08-14-2006
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The Minnesota Labor Market <br />Index rebounded sharply in April, <br />increasing 0.9 percent to 136.4. April's <br />advance was fuelled by a jump in <br />adjusted wage and salary employment <br />and a drop in adjusted initial <br />unemployment claims. Adjusted <br />average weekly manufacturing hours, <br />the third component of the index, was <br />unchanged in April. The U.S. <br />index improved for the seventh <br />consecutive month, climbing to <br />136.0. Minnesota's index in April <br />was 2.9 percent higher than a year <br />ago. The U.S.index was up 3.7 <br />percent over the 12-month period. <br />Seasonally adjusted Wage and <br />Salary Employment recorded <br />robust growth in April for the third <br />consecutive year. April's job growth <br />of 14,900 jobs was spread across six <br />sectors with the largest employment <br />expansion occurring in the <br />professional and business services and <br />the leisure and hospitality sectors. <br />Minimal job loss was reported in the <br />information, financial activities, and <br />natural resources and mining sectors. <br />The state's unadjusted over-the-year <br />job growth rate for the first four <br />months of 2006 has averaged 1.6 <br />percent which is slightly above the <br />projected long-term rate of 1.5 percent. <br />1so <br />1as <br />1ao <br />135 <br />130 <br />12s <br />12of- ,992=100 <br />115' <br />Apr Apr Apr Apr Apr <br />01 02 03 04 OS <br />Help-Wanted Ads <br />increased for the <br />second straight month <br />in April, rising above <br />9,000 for the first time <br />in six months. April's <br />6.5 percent hike to <br />9,045 is consistent <br />with a job market <br />that appears to be <br />steadily improving. <br />Newspaper help- <br />wanted ads remain <br />well below levels <br />UV <br />14s <br />140 <br />135 <br />130 <br />125 <br />lzo <br />ns <br />Apr <br />of <br />Apr Apr Apr Apr Apr <br />02 03 04 OS 06 <br />2005 Apr 132.6 <br />May 131.5 <br />tun 731.6 <br />lul 133.1 <br />Aug 131.9 <br />Sep 732.2 <br />Oct 734.8 <br />Nov 134.0 <br />Dec 134.9 <br />2006 Ian 735.4 <br />Feb 735.8 <br />Mar 135.2 <br />Apr 136.4 <br />%Chg From <br />Month Ago 0.9% <br />Year Ago 2.9% <br />Source: Department o(Employment and Economic Development, 2006. <br />seen prior to the <br />2001 recession and before ` <br />employers turned to the <br />Internet to advertise job openings. <br />Minnesota's Purchasing <br />Managers' Index (PMI) surged to <br />68.7 in Aprfl spiking to its second- <br />highestlevel ever recorded over the <br />index's 12-year history. The index's <br />five-month escalation is consistent <br />with the stronger job growth seen <br />since January. The ongoing run up <br />in the index suggests that hiring <br />will continue to pick up through The <br />summer. Minnesota's job market, <br />after lagging behind the national job <br />picture in 2004 and 2005, is on <br />track to match or slightly exceed the <br />nation in 2006. <br />Weekly Manufacturing Hours <br />were flat i n April, coming in at <br />March's level of 41.2. Factory hours <br />have averaged 40.4 hours per week <br /> since 1970, so April's 41.2 <br /> hour workweek is a <br /> bullish sign for [he <br /> state's economy. <br />zoos Apr <br />May 131.1 <br />130.9 Factory paychecks, <br />Ji~l isi:° however, fell in <br />Aug <br />sep 732.6 <br />130.] <br />April for the third <br />r°o`~ i3i8 month out of [he <br />zoob ~a~ iisz last four. April's 1.8 <br />Feb <br />Mar 135.3 <br />135.] <br />peCCERt decllnE SERI <br />Apr 136.0 <br />Manufacturing <br />%Chg From <br />Month Ago <br />0.3% <br />EalTlingS dRWn t0 <br />r Vear Ago 3.7% <br />$696.69. Factory <br />Source: Department of Employment and Economic Development, 2006. <br />paychecks continue <br />to be up in real terms over last year <br />with April's paycheck being 2.0 <br />percent higher than a year ago. <br />Adjusted Minnesota Business <br />Incorporations turned around in <br />April climbing to 1,014. April's 7.9 <br />percent bump in incorporations left <br />April's business startup volume 4.9 <br />percent below a year ago. <br />Residential Building Permits <br />plunged in April to 2,239. The drop <br />in home building permits was <br />expected, following a drop in new <br />home sales and a growing inventory <br />of homes for sale. April's permit <br />level was the lowest since March <br />1998 and down 34.1 percent from <br />last April. The expected home <br />building slowdown has arrived in <br />Minnesota despite an improving job <br />market as higher mortgage rates <br />seem to be putting a damper on the <br />demand for new homes. <br />The seasonally adjusted Initial <br />Claims for Unemployment Benefits <br />(UB) situation improved in Minnesota <br />in April as initial claims decreased 2.0 <br />percent to 5,218. April's initial claims <br />level was 6.4 percent below last <br />April's numbers. The year-over-year <br />drop is another indicator that the <br />job market has gained momentum <br />in 2006. <br />by Dave Senf <br />Note: Except for the Minnesota Labor MarketIndex,the US. Labor Market Index,and the PMl,allover-the-year data are seasonally unadjusted.The most recent data available <br />are for Apr 2006. See the Supplement Irom the Minnesota Employment Review, June 1999, for more information on the Minnesota Labor Market Index and the LLS. Labor <br />Market Index. <br />~ 4 Minnesota Employment Review June 2006 <br />
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