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' Scenarios 2 and 3 largely consist ofcommercial/retail land use with 75% impervious and <br />95% respectively. Scenario 3 represents the most extreme development scenario with <br />respect to impervious surfaces. Storm water management for any scenario can be provided <br />' through a combination of wet detention ponds and infiltration features. The soils within <br />the study area will likely provide ideal conditions for achieving volume reduction and <br />' pollutant reduction through the use of infiltration. <br />The City will require a 60% removal of total phosphorus and total suspended solids from <br />' the post-construction developed condition. Any development will also be required to meet <br />the requirements of the NPDES permit. In addition, it is anticipated that development will <br />need to meet the ORVW requirements of the State and therefore, no increase in storm <br />' water runoff volume or pollutant loads from the 1988 baseline land use condition will be <br />allowed. Therefore, infiltration of storm water to meet these requirements will be required. <br />' Traffic Analysis (Item 21) <br />The analysis included evaluating traffic impacts in the 171St Avenue AUAR study area of the <br />existing 2011 no build, existing 2011 build (with roadway improvements) and three future <br />' land use development scenarios. Each development scenario contains a mixture of <br />residential and commercial uses as well as a transit center and open space. <br />' The future land development will have a significant impact on the operations of <br />intersections in the project area. The increased trips from development scenarios were <br />used to forecast future traffic volumes and evaluate traffic operations on the roadway <br />' system within the study area. <br />The existing 2011 no-build conditions were analyzed to determine the current level of <br />operations of the study area and to set a baseline in determining what future roadway <br />improvement are needed and when they maybe required. The results concluded that the <br />' intersections on TH 10 / 169 currently experience operational issues during both the AM <br />and PM peak hours and that with any development some level of improvements will be <br />required. <br />In order to determine when a third lane on TH 10 / 169 and (or) an interchange at Twin <br />Lakes Parkway would be required, the existing traffic volumes were analyzed assuming the <br />future roadway network. Assuming a straight line growth in traffic from existing conditions <br />TH 10 / 169 will require either the third lane or interchange by 2015 for Scenario 1 and <br />2013 for Scenario 2 or 3. If the third lane is construction the interchange would be needed <br />by 2023 for Scenario 1, 2019 for Scenario 2 or 2017 for Scenario 3. <br />For the 2031 build condition for each scenario it was assumed that an interchange would <br />be constructed at TH 10 / 169 and Twin Lakes Parkway. Based on the level of development <br />and the analysis for each scenario, three intersections on Twin Lakes Parkway (168th <br />Avenue, Wilson Street and 171St Lane) could have approaches with Level of Service at or <br />below acceptable levels, assuming a side street stop traffic control. <br />If a roundabout or traffic signal is installed at the Twin Lakes Parkway and 168th Avenue in <br />all three scenarios, the operations would improve to an LOS C. The Twin Lakes Parkway <br />City of Elk River <br />Draft Alternative Urban Areawide Review <br />July 2011 Page 7 of 84 <br />