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right-out access at 173rd Avenue and 165th Avenue, and the full movement <br />signalized intersection at 171St Avenue would be removed. <br />Trip Assignment/Forecasted Traffic Volumes <br />Turning movements at each intersection for each scenario were estimated by <br />applying the approach direction distribution percentages to the site-generated <br />traffic. In addition to the site-generated traffic, the background traffic growth was <br />added to thru traffic on the development area roadways. This traffic was then added <br />to the existing traffic to develop the future projected traffic volumes. Figures 21-5 <br />thru 21-7 show the projected 2031 traffic volumes with an interchange at TH 10 / <br />169 and Twin Lakes Parkway for each scenario. <br />Traffic Operations Analysis <br />The traffic operations analysis is derived from established methodologies <br />documented in the Highway Capacity Manua12000 (HCM). The HCM provides a <br />series of analysis techniques that are used to evaluate traffic operations. <br />Intersections are given a Level of Service (LOS) grade from "A" to "F" to describe the <br />average amount of control delay per vehicle as defined in the HCM. The LOS is <br />primarily a function of peak traffic hour turning movement volumes, intersection <br />lane configuration, and the traffic controls at the intersection. LOS A is the best <br />traffic operating condition, and drivers experience minimal delay at an intersection <br />operating at that level. LOS E represents the condition where the intersection is at <br />capacity, and some drivers may have to wait through more than one green phase to <br />make it through an intersection controlled by traffic signals. LOS F represents a <br />condition where there is more traffic than can be handled by the intersection, and <br />many vehicle operators may have to wait through more than one green phase to <br />make it through the intersection. At a stop sign-controlled intersection, LOS F would <br />be characterized by exceptionally long vehicle queues on each approach at an all- <br />way stop, or long queues and/or great difficulty in finding an acceptable gap for <br />drivers on the minor legs at athrough-street intersection. <br />The LOS ranges for both signalized and un-signalized intersections are shown in <br />Table 21-2. The threshold LOS values for un-signalized intersections are slightly <br />less than for signalized intersections. This variance was instituted because drivers' <br />expectations at intersections differ with the type of traffic control. A given LOS can <br />be altered by increasing (or decreasing) the number of lanes, changing traffic control <br />arrangements, adjusting the timing at signalized intersections, or other lesser geometric <br />improvements. LOS also changes as traffic volumes increase or decrease. <br />City of Elk River <br />Draft Alternative Urban Areawide Review <br />July 2011 <br />Page 60 of 84 <br />~i <br />