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INFORMATION #1 01-19-2010
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INFORMATION #1 01-19-2010
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INFORMATION <br />The City males sure we are sufficiently liquid by continually updating our forecast on the <br />anticipated cash flow needs over the next five year time horizon, we also build in a reserve <br />balance incase of unexpected expenditures, these funds are maintained in money marl~et <br />accounts through the 4M Fund, we anticipate the fact that we will have two large tax <br />settlements each year, along with the regularly scheduled debt service payments that occur <br />each year. <br />Over the past couple of years the search for quality has been the goal, thus we have avoided <br />commercial paper for the last year due to concerns over the credit quality issues that have <br />existed. The markets have seen increased volatility in the bond markets and the yield curve <br />has started to show signs of an upward- sloping shape which has meant long-term secu~•ities <br />slightly exceed returns on short-term instruments, This may also indicate that investors still <br />prefer liquidity and will tale a lower yield for short-term and secure investments. <br />The City has to weigh the opportunity cost to invest in longex term investments or ride the <br />yield curve and reinvest at shorter maturity intervals. Most recent purchases have been <br />Certificates of Deposits which have a maturity of one to three years with reasonable interest <br />rates. In addition, some callable bonds that could be called anywhere from three months to <br />two years have been purchased, but if inflation starts and bond rates rise we may have to <br />hold until maturity. ~Ve carefully consider these issues in our cash flow analysis model. <br />Investing in shorter-term investments has presented far fewer options since the decline in <br />the commercial paper market, Treasury yields are still around historical lows, Three month <br />notes are yielding 0.06% and the ten year notes are 3,$5%, see ~raphlcal Illustration below: <br />http://www.ust~.~eas.~ov/offices/do~nestic~~inance/debt~rnanagemcnt/inte~~est~ <br />~•ate /yield_historical.sl~tml <br />Treasury Yield Curve <br />Cities generally use a short horizon benchm,arl~ such as the two year Treasury Bill12/31-- <br />1.14% up slightly from .95% at 9/30} or some similar measure. fur current portfolio yield <br />is roughly 1.$1q/o. This is calculated by taking the yield times the current value for each <br />investment and dividing the resulting amount by the total portfolio value. As investments <br />purchased in earliet• years mature we will be able to replace them and lock into some longer <br />term interest rates, but they may have to be reinvested at lower interest rates as market <br />conditions change. It is very typical to lag the market as interest rates change, This will lead <br />to more predictability in our interest earnings, <br />fur primary reserve account is our 4M Fund which is a money market account that various <br />cities pool their funds into. It currently yields .2~% with daily withdrawal privileges. ~we are <br />maintaining a higher liquidity position in order to reinvest at higher rates when the economy <br />
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