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U.S. automakers are too big to fail, but they're also too big, to succeed. <br />So Congress will help, but the price will be restructuring and downsizing. <br />Lawmakers will come to Detrait's aid with loan guarantees of at least $25 billion. <br />That will let General Motors, Ford and Chrysler survive awhile longer. <br />Look far action. by late January, perhaps as part of the Obama stimulus plan. <br />~eax-fray-n nr~w._:2.5°n:i'~-c~mar,b.l~.~:.:niltar~attosvQ~ke~s.~a~;Loss;0~.5:0Ofl0 <br />.. __ . <br />i~n..the industry-.~..a s-tti~~ning_fs40,C~C~O~lost if you acl~ ~n,siippli~rs-anei othPr~s <br />who ~i~l ~e affected. An•d ~ti:li mare job cL~ts°a~re .likely further down the ro`~cl,,: <br />_. _ .. <br />LZp. to,~^#h~~d o~ the 5:8 auto planks r_I?at dot the' Mdvtrest w~i2l be s~3~ritt~red <br />The United Auto Workers union will have to swallow big cuts in pay <br />and benefits, with more workers shunted to the tiered system created in 2007. <br />That means wages and benefits totaling $25 an hour, which. is what Toyota <br />and Hcnda pay U.S. workers, rather than the $75 an hour mast get now. <br />And expect an end to the system that pays idled workers 95% of their wages. <br />Bid changes, too, in the sizes and kinds of cars produced by Detroit. <br />GM will put Chevy Volt's plug-in hybrid technology in many more models <br />within five years. Also, a turbocharged, fuel efficient Chevy Cruze in two years. <br />Ford will :-oll out the hybrid Fusion, which is touted as more efficient <br />than Toyota's Camry, and in 2010 unveil a Fiesta that gets 40 mpg on highways. <br />And Chrysler will sell ahigh-mileage subcompact from Nissan in 2010 <br />but has nothing else in the works...one reason the company may be sold off. <br />Expect a third fewer mergers and acquisitions next year, a direct result <br />' of tight credit, bankruptcies and volatile equity markets. The value <br />of M&A activity will also drop a third, from $3 trillion in 2008 to $2 trillion in 2009. <br />The bulk of the combinations will be among midsize companies <br />with revenue between $50 million and $500 million a year. With more bankruptcies, <br />fewer businesses will need to buy up their competitors to thin out the ranks. <br />More firms will combine with complementary partners to improve efficiency... <br />office equipment distributors teaming up with office equipment makers, for example, <br />or software makers being bought out by the electronics companies they supply. <br />k~v~i.'t~ah,:but.'Ysub~~h~es";~are-real acrd theyoa~a: hip cut pollut~ori,~ <br />l~xp~c`t~~rrris ~o plant inore.eci~logieally Erie-n~d7y varieties of gapla~, b,~eec~+h <br />~n.cl:-_p~R9;haf; ,nth. genetic tweaks, eats 25~~o-h2~ore-car~ori~ cTic~x~ f:b~t?:to~d~y's..trees. <br />The supertrees reach harvest-ready maturity 40~% faster than regular trees- <br />That will help to rev up the production of biofuels, such as cellulosic ethanol, <br />which can be distilled from wood pulp and sawdust, and which will be in demand. <br />The forest industry also gains from the quick growth of the supertrees, <br />and furniture makers will benefit because the harvested wood is nearly blemish free. <br />T'hert ~hete ~az`~ -<`e.1eGtri~" trees.. Scxe:xttrsts ca.n n~vv harvest°p~v~r-:froan-trees, <br />. pp g ... .g. ~ - . ~ ..t. ~ <br />tea in the ,bark.fa~:a loi~i-volta - e~ ch~r~ _ ~~ hardly a sna .os :er:~e~ ~ : source, bit... <br />it's ~eno~agh to sxigply smail.f~~tter.L}~ciwered sensats :ori the tr~~'s! <br />The sensors will provide invaluable soil and weather information to growers. <br />They warn of moisture and humidity problems and of disease-causing conditions. <br />They'll also be of use to forest rangers. The sensors point to dry areas <br />that might be susceptible to fire and provide early notice when a blaze does start. <br />')xl~t~ sta~~da~d h2.S rata :fa:r btXsltt'e;~s cln~rii%g-tiuil:L fall :to.:a5~ p~t~ taaile ~n 2Q0:g, <br />from 58.5 this year. The rate for medical travel will drop 3~, to 24~ a mile <br />next year, while the deduction for travel for charitable work remains at just 14~. <br />For instant online access and searchable archives, go to kiplingerbiz.com/start ~•~;.^`~, <br />