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S.~._TATE OF MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION <br />P.O. Box 370 <br /> <br />3725 12th Street North <br />St. Cloud, MN 56303 <br />Office Telephone: (612) 255-4181 <br />Fax: (612) 255-3257 <br /> <br />March 5, 1996 <br /> <br />Scott Brabec <br />13822 211th Ave. N.W. <br />Elk River, MN 55330 <br /> <br />RE: Elk River Comprehensive Transportation Plan <br />Dear Mr. Brabec: <br /> <br />Thank you for driving up to St. Cloud to meet with me regarding the Elk River <br />Comprehensive Transportation Plan. This letter will serve as a summary of what I <br />believe to have been some of the key points of our discussion. In some parts of the <br />letter I may have added information subsequent to our conversation to help clarify my <br />thoughts. <br /> <br />One question I had provided feedback on was the ability of the traffic assignment <br />model used by the city to show trip reduction on routes para/lel to the proposed <br />east-west corridor. My understanding of the traffic forecasting model used for the <br />Elk River study is that it was an "Ail or Nothing" assignment model. An "All or <br />Nothing" model will assign trips to the route which has the shortest trip time, <br />regardless of th.e, fact that the number of trips assigned to the route may eventually' <br />exceed the route s capacity and ultimately make it a less desirable route. An alternate <br />method would be to do a UCapacity Restrained" assignment model. A "Capacity <br />Restrained" process is an iterative process which would adjust the travel speeds on <br />route segments as they become congested. This process has the effect of diverting <br />trips off of heavily used routes and on to lesser used routes. Since the model used in <br />the study is an "All or Nothing" model, the trips being diverted to new or lesser used <br />routes may be understated since an "All or Nothing" model focuSses on where trips <br />want to go rather than their desire to avoid congestion. To get an understanding of <br />how these lesser used elements of the transportation system might work, the parallel <br />routes also have to be considered with regard to how much congestion they are <br /> <br /> <br />