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4.1. SR 08-11-2008
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4.1. SR 08-11-2008
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EXECUTIVE SUbIlVIARY <br />- The one issue that would make the Site less desirable for industrial space users is the dis- <br />tance to Interstate 94. This fact will segment the market for industrial users, and make the <br />Gateway Business Center site appealing to certain types of industrial users, similar to the ex- <br />isting mix of industrial users in Elk River currently. <br />- Industrial employment is projected to be strong in the region, especially in the Construction, <br />Wholesale Trade, and Transportation sectors. This projected growth will continue to drive <br />demand for industrial space in azeas with access to the State's transportation system <br />- Employment growth in Elk River has been steady. Over 2003 and 2006, Elk River added <br />several new industrial businesses, almost all small manufacturers, with about 200 new jobs <br />added. <br />- Manufacturing employers aze attracted to the quality labor force, good access to the trans- <br />portation system, lower land prices, and the availability of larger lots for potential expan- <br />sion. We believe that, even as manufacturing becomes a smaller part of the overall regional <br />economy, Elk River will remain an attractive location for these employers into the next dec- <br />ade. <br />- The industrial mazket in the northwestern Metro Area is strong and is improving. Between <br />2005 and 2006, we estimate that about 1.8 million-square feet of industrial leased space was <br />absorbed. Over that period, the vacancy rate in the sector declined from 10% to 7.5%. <br />- The industrial space market in Elk River is relatively strong. Affordability and availability <br />have driven industrial development in Elk River, where other azeas of the Twin Cities have <br />struggled due to higher land costs. The Elk River multi-tenant market is chazacterized by <br />newer facilities that aze still in their lease-up phases. These newer facilities tend to have <br />higher vacancy rates than the overall market. The industrial land market has also been rela- <br />tively strong; we estimate that between 2003 and 2006, the average absorption was about <br />67,500-square feet of industrial building space for owner-occupied industrial land. <br />- Based on our Site analysis, demographic analysis, competitive market analysis, and inter- <br />views with industrial brokers, we project that annual industrial land absorption in Elk River <br />will be about 11.8 acres per year. We believe the Gateway Business Center could capture <br />about one-third of this demand, or about four acres per yeaz. <br />Recommendations <br />Based on our analysis, we do not recommend traditional retail uses at the Site. The access, <br />visibility, and competitive mazket issues dictate that retail would struggle to fmd a market. We <br />recommend a mix of traditional industrial space (office warehouse, manufacturing) with more <br />non-traditional industrial space (office showroom, flexible office/wazehouse). We recommend <br />that the more traditional industrial space be located on the eastern portion of the Site, in the area <br />currently being designated as light industrial. We recommend developing the non-traditional <br />industrial space adjacent to Highway 10, where there would be better visibility. This western <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH iNC. iii <br />
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