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• U~ ~~l:y IG:es drrllltr 1, rente php,:F <br />• ~ :UIt,J `iC`J !i51" lil ':C~(S <br />• ~r~eF~lta r~t~ c co~Je t~M-rer;t~l ~n~•~ rs~u=i <br />~G~ I`iS <br />MARKET BREAKDOWN <br />l is it higl ti' ~~i;;li 1 ~ e ~ ;;tit d :-tt <br />`~50 ~?~0 ~~:d (epo(ted ~.8°r, J~cane~;, do~~r,•~ <br />`IL(il .'i.,i'n. L .Ij tiL ~-,iced h III I ~"~~(' <br />~ - ' ~ Cr ~l` d; ,., Y, <br />the South Central,, aaased the _:gest <br />.Ili iU. ~<i$ wi;'~.` Ild 4cC8' y' (~ <br />Il ~ .`"o. <br />Northeast a~ ~ r1t d t~ec ~o d ~ ~, ar~d <br />~~e ,ge erns u-iped ~"0 t~ w~Fa~. <br />Southwest J c.nt,~ r , rayed tc ;.4"%~~. (c°t <br />Southeast'dacar~cy fill to 4.d°,/o, ~I~d rents <br />~JJ e fa~rh; tlat ~t $~a62. <br />Northwesty ..a.~v- a; a' ~'~._ <br />C1t5!IlC1r,St _ ~~. <br />Downtown Minneapolis <<aca; ~i per to <br />1 , ~;; ;nd r r~ ~ pen~:ed at ~ 1,100. <br />Downtown St. Paul c r~ ~ ~ (`re ~ I ~1~.:, ui <br />((0111 `~',~!' . ~,llt ti~~Ce Ct 1118eL'i a (t.~`;!o <br />~~n is M;l~acmt, Ii ~~:!: ~~.. <br />Apartment Market Is Healthy, but SlowJob <br />Growth, Flat Economy Will Have Impact <br />t7ecreasin~; c;tcxney rates, increasing <br />rents, disappcaritrg coucess~orrs, Eittlu~ netiv <br />constr~uccion Fwd a weak for-sale housing <br />In:nke~t area honing vvea] for dri' 'T~4sin C7t- <br />ies apartment m:u ket. Vacancy cropped <br />to , U9o in third quarter trout -C"e one <br />year aC;v ~~nd a lai~la of ~.4 in~',OU=}. <br />intprt>ving fiuad;unrnta; meant landlords <br />raised rents. Average rent ~v:as ~;~~}tl, it}, <br />~ ~ ?6 from one t'c a a~;o. <.oncc^ssior.~s are <br />6aiating oft; so pure rent r,~ross=th ss~iJ1 <br />oct ur mocin~ forward. <br />CONSTROCTION IS SLOW <br />t).~spire improving conditions, devc~~iop- <br />meut retrra~ined spotty, partic~l:v~ly in <br />thc• stbuahs. ~lpproaiutatel}- 5;0 emits <br />opened ~n ?Ot~7---tm~st in 1A-7inu~apo... <br />lv.. Most dcveluptrtent is occ~urriar:; in <br />hi,*6er-irtcorne. higher-_deniand arias <br />s~-hcrr developers bclicve there is lughi•r <br />runt potent~i:a.l. 1\pprosirn,uclc 557 mots <br />arr~ projected for ?OU8 an l '1 570 ii~r <br />~(ti)9. 1)~veli,pnrc~tii is shrggis}t because <br />constrlaciron costs arcprolaibitic, and <br />rent levels ,renerallv are not high ettou~.;h <br />to lusdti urw antstrut;tit?n. Alsf~> 1,.-c~pin~, <br />a lid on consi~ructiotr arc a I~tci;: of good <br />;etc,, cities that are ".nett-apartment" and <br />the uucert:dntti ofhosti-;nan~ condo-to- <br />rental ci,nvcrsions i~-ill occur. <br />NOOSING DOWNTORN IMPACTS RENTALS <br />F~ew•er renters art: leaautg apartments Ii~r <br />h~;me.<nvnersttip. L<xut terms are t.{rlri<:ult, <br />:ux~ there is uncertainty in the hous- <br />ing market. Average borne values in the <br />I'svin Cities plummetexl; the aver~rgc~ <br />vane i doc~ n :uurth~t ~`_~ (tone 20iili to <br />~*"41G.5i)Ci. But the bad ne~~s is tl'te drop <br />in job ~msirth. which affe~;ts al.,artment <br />demand. 1vlirutesota's ttuc~~trtpli?yutent rate <br />~~.~:.ceeded the LT. ti. rate Sn Sel?teanber For <br />the tlrst tune in year>. ` <br />RENOVATION IS TREND <br />lC'ith constraint; on nc~~c constructiou, <br />landk,rds ~u-e renovating esistin~r proper- <br />tie and pusl:~ing rents. Coarsiderahie <br />inaestor intirrest today is in nalu~:-add. <br />c,raportunities. ;risen the scarcity of newer <br />1?ropcn)~ sales and tlsr^ tnarkct recovery <br />that is uuderti`;ry. <br />The Outlook <br />it should be a good rr:n fc,r laudloz~cls. <br />ln~irnarily because the. lid is still ou ncte <br />development. The market condi- <br />tion> tr~dasr suggest the begirutin~ oi' <br />~t deg.°elopn.ent cycle. 1)ue to the Tlat <br />economy, spotty consrruetiou wilE c,o- <br />crt3~ iu higher-irtcomc ;{recs. Noy-v~1~~r, <br />there will not l,e a dramatic' increase in <br />supply as high co~7etructi<:rn costs and <br />runt lc•s els do nor. justit:~- a for of new <br />developrrreut. ~Ihe market is healthy, <br />but giti>en the state of die econouty <br />and uttcerrair~ty .te~soc:rated kith tlxe~ <br />sub-};rime taIlcaat, rent growth wit] be <br />niodeit. Fume vts.~estur.~-tat opportun~- <br />ties ~; ill 1?e as,ociated with rehabs. ^ <br />MULTi-FAMILY VACANCY <br />H <br />z <br />d <br />U <br />Q <br />w <br />d <br />7 <br />b <br />5 <br />4 <br />3 <br />2 <br />t <br /> <br />18 <br />0 <br />'Qi '02 '03 '04 'OS 'Ob '07 <br />. :I I tndc U f q Mt'~ry.iutt.: Ftla'S11fs <br />I J I :.i' t I:' <br />8 7:dk <br />r yon <br />