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<br />. <br /> <br />EHLERS <br /> <br />&. /\SSOCI/\-ES II\C <br /> <br />MEMORANDUM <br /> <br />DATE: <br /> <br />Aug 3,2005 <br /> <br />TO: <br /> <br />Heidi Steinmetz, City of Elk River <br />Lori Johnson, City of Elk River <br /> <br />FROM: <br /> <br />Sid Inman, Ehlers and Associates Inc <br /> <br />RE: <br /> <br />But For Analysis For Industrial Park Abatement. <br /> <br />You have asked us to review the abatement proposals that have been presented and comment on the need <br />for the abatement. This is what is referred to as the "But For" analysis. <br /> <br />In the past we have used two different methods of reviewing the need for various types of assistance. In <br />some cases we have compared the purposed project to a similar project and review the returns on equity <br />as the basis for the need for assistance. <br /> <br />Since these projects are somewhat unique, we felt it would be better to use the second method of <br />comparing cost of acquiring the site in the purposed locations with the cost in similar locations. The <br />cities estimates and abatement assistance amounts are in "future dollars" and are designed to bring the <br />cost of the site to zero dollars over a 12 to 14 year period. My calculations are based on the calculations <br />that the staff prepared to determine the purchase price and the assistance. <br /> <br />Attached is a summary chart that shows the impact in "future value dollars" bringing the purchase price to <br />zero dollars per square foot. <br /> <br />Another way to review the purchase price is to review it in "present value dollars" Since the buyers will <br />receive the full amount ofthe abatement over 12 to 14 years to arrive at a value in today's dollars we <br />must add a discount rate. The second portion of the chart shows the net price in present value dollars. <br />Note the range from .58 to .89 if a function of the size of the lot verses the size of the building. <br /> <br />In summary, if you assume that the major competition that the city has is still offering the land at <br />from zero to $.25 a square foot, either analysis satisfies a needs requirement and could be <br />deemed to be justifiable <br />