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performance and would reduce the level of public assistance that is necessary. However, any of the <br />adjustments would not eliminate the need for public assistance. <br /> <br />Upon review of the annual cash flow performance, increasing the projected lease rates beyond what is currently <br />estimated would also result in additional cash flow that would provide both a higher debt coverage ratio and rate <br />of return. Realizing these adjustments are all based on assumptions. The purpose of the sensitivity analysis is <br />to test the level of assistance that may be needed using those assumptions to understand if the recommended <br />level of assistance could be consistent with the City’s policy objectives and less than what has been requested. <br />Analysis also requires a balancing of existing market conditions with what the project could support. <br /> <br />Additional factors that may impact project feasibility and level of public assistance include review of the City’s <br />current TIF policy and implications to the financing assumptions. The City’s TIF policy provides for TIF District <br />terms be limited to the minimum term necessary to meet the project needs. Only projects exceeding the <br />objectives identified in the policy will be considered to exceed those general thresholds. A Redevelopment <br />District term has a maximum level of 15 years. The application includes a request for 26 years of assistance. A <br />supporting preapproval letter from the potential lender has indicated that 90% of the tax increment revenues <br />over 20 years is needed to support debt service. As outlined in the analysis, making adjustments to the <br />financing assumptions would assist with increasing the project performance to a level that could be supported <br />within the City’s policy criteria relative to the 15-year term of assistance. <br /> <br />Also related to policy guidelines is the requirement of owner cash equity of 10%. The applicant’s level of equity <br />as proposed is 20%. The City commissioned a Comprehensive Housing Market Study Update in 2018. At that <br />time the study identified a potential demand for approximately 864 new housing units through 2025. There was <br />also strong demand for additional market rate (172 units). <br /> <br />Conclusion <br />The applicant has requested financial assistance related to redevelopment of the former Saxon site and <br />subsequent construction of two 98-unit market rate apartment buildings. Through submission of the tax <br />increment financing application and supporting financial information, the applicant has indicated that the project <br />would not occur as proposed without financial assistance from the City due to below market debt coverage and <br />rates of return. The applicant has provided documentation from a potential lender indicating prequalification of <br />financing for this project subject to: availability of sufficient equity such as cash, land or acceptable soft costs, <br />appraisal, environmental and title for the property, and a minimum 20 year TIF equal or greater than 90% of the <br />total tax estimate. <br /> <br />Based on the financial analysis and available financing assumptions, without financial assistance, the project <br />does not appear to be feasible. The applicant’s operating proforma without tax increment assistance is less <br />than 1.0x DCR and with assistance using tax increment revenues as available cash flow, would be closer to <br />1.13-1.21x DCR, which is generally an acceptable level required for this type of project. Without assistance, the <br />projected annual and cumulative rate of return is below industry standards for this type of project and with <br />annual public assistance the project is projected to achieve marketable returns. Both the rate of return and debt <br />coverage analysis indicate that the provided financing structure would not be financially viable without one or <br />more of the following: 1) reduction in project costs 2) additional annual cash flow, and/or 3) additional funding <br />sources. The projected performance of the project without as or would be necessary to obtain a level of debt <br />financing necessary to fund all project costs and provide a reasonable return. <br /> <br />Considerations for level of public assistance parameters include: <br />• Public to private investment <br />• Public assistance (TIF) and private equity <br />• Extraordinary costs <br />• Financial gap <br /> <br />The applicant has requested tax increment financing from the City as a method of providing the additional cash <br />flow revenues required to achieve financial feasibility. In addition to tax increment financing, we’ve also <br />reviewed other possible methods that could be used to increase financial feasibility and reduce the level of <br />public participation that has been requested and may be needed for the project. Adjusting the assumptions <br />related to land and other development costs to a level that can be supported by a reduced term of assistance <br />and annual revenues (lease rates) all have positive impacts to the project; thus, resulting in an estimated