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Sherburne County Multi -Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2020 <br />�-agure 22. rro)ectea unange in ivumver of uonseeutive <br />Projected Change In Number of Consecutive Dry Days f <br />Period 2041-2070 1 Lower Emissions 81 <br />Ohe v... N—b .. �4 C ,x fr- Days $4, r— <br />Source: (ICAT, 2017) <br />in Low & tiign tmission scenarios <br />Change in Number of Consecutive Dry Days <br />Period- 2041 2070 1 Highaf Emissions: A2 <br />6' <br />OW" M *A 9W 01 CW&WA M L7rya PW Yw <br />t 3 3 x <br />Even in areas where precipitation does not decrease, projected higher air temperatures will cause <br />increased surface evaporation and plant water loss, leading to drier soils. As soil dries out, a larger <br />proportion of the incoming heat from the sun goes into heating the soil and adjacent air rather than <br />evaporating its moisture, resulting in hotter summers under drier climatic conditions (Mueller & <br />Seneviratne, 2012). <br />Vulnerability <br />All jurisdictions in Sherburne County are vulnerable to drought, which has impacted the county <br />numerous times over the years. <br />The National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) oversees the Drought Impact Reporter (DIR) - a <br />comprehensive database which gathers drought -related reports from a variety of sources and identifies <br />the sector(s) being impacted by each drought. The NDMC (n.d.) defines a drought impact as "An <br />observable loss or change that occurred at a specific place and time because of drought." A drought <br />meeting this definition is categorized based on the sector(s) the drought impacts; therefore, a single <br />drought impacting multiple sectors will be categorized into each respective sector. <br />DIR records show 32 incidents of drought impacting at least one sector in Sherburne County from 3.976 - <br />2o18. Table 29 lists the number of times each sector was impacted by these droughts. <br />Table 29. Reported Drought Impacts for Sherburne County, 1976-2018 <br />Agriculture <br />Business & Industry <br />Energy <br />Fire <br />Plants & Wildlife <br />Relief, Response & <br />Restrictions <br />5 <br />o <br />o <br />4 <br />4 <br />14 <br />Page179 <br />