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DRAFT <br /> November 21, 1995 <br /> network, fuel and travel time are saved. There is also a potential safety <br /> • benefit in reduced congestion. <br /> A. Replication <br /> The first series of network assignments was a replication of the existing <br /> transportation system usage. The purpose behind the existing system was to arrive <br /> at a combination of trip generation rates, trip distribution process and network link <br /> attributes that would accurately portray City travel patterns in an assignment. This <br /> combination would then be retained for travel demand forecasts. An initial <br /> all-or-nothing assignment was made under the assumption that there is currently <br /> no location on the street network that drivers intentionally avoid because of a <br /> capacity deficiency. The assigned traffic volumes for each roadway segment were <br /> compared against actual field counted volume data. Segments whose assigned <br /> volumes differed to an unacceptable degree from actual volumes were noted. A <br /> series of screen lines was used to check that there was an accurate representation <br /> of total volume traveling between one part of the City and another. (A screen line <br /> is a line drawn east-west or north-south across the entire City. Traffic volumes on <br /> all roadway segments crossing the screenline are totaled and compared to the sum <br /> of existing volumes on the same segments.) Adjustments were made to trip <br /> generation rates, trip distribution and/or network link attributes, and a new <br /> assignment was made. This process was continued until the existing system usage <br /> . was satisfactorily replicated. <br /> B. Ultimate Forecast <br /> The trip generation rates and trip distribution process that were used in the final <br /> replication assignment were also used in the ultimate development assignment. <br /> Most network link attributes were also retained. However, there were a few <br /> notable exceptions. All county roads that had a 55 miles per hour speed in the <br /> replication assignment were reduced to 45 miles per hour, because they would now <br /> be in fully developed areas. County Road 40 and 221st Avenue, both existing <br /> gravel roads, were assumed to be paved and straightened with speeds increased to <br /> 45 miles per hour. These improvements seem reasonable to expect as the land <br /> adjacent to the two roads is developed. <br /> The first ultimate assignment was made on the existing street network with the <br /> modifications noted above. The forecast ADT volumes are shown in Figure 3. <br /> The results identified system deficiencies, locations where demand exceeded <br /> capacity. Two remedies were possible: increase capacity on existing roads or add <br /> roads to the system. It was not expected that either could solve all the deficiencies <br /> alone, but rather that a combination of the two would be necessary. With this in <br /> mind, an attempt was made to identify roadway segments to be added to the <br /> • network that would have the greatest impact on the deficient areas, whose addition <br /> would have enough effect to at least make it practical to solve the remaining <br /> deficiencies with capacity improvements. The options for roadway improvements <br /> CTP-230.156 -8- 230-156-80 <br />