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2. HRSR 06-05-2017
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2. HRSR 06-05-2017
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City Government
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HRSR
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6/5/2017
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FOR -SALE MARKET ANALYSIS <br />Introduction <br />Maxfield Research and Consulting LLC analyzed the for -sale housing market in Elk River by <br />analyzing data on single - family and multifamily home sales and active listings; identifying <br />pending for -sale developments; and conducting interviews with local real estate professionals, <br />developers and planning officials. <br />Overview of For -Sale Housing Market Conditions <br />Table FS -1 presents home resale data on single - family and multifamily housing in Elk River from <br />2000 through June 2015. The data was obtained from the Regional Multiple Listing Services of <br />Minnesota and shows annual number of sales, median and average pricing, average days of <br />market, cumulative days on market, and percentage of sales that are lender- mediated (i.e. <br />short -sale or foreclosure). It should be noted that lender- mediated sales were not categorized <br />until July 2008 and the cumulative days on market were not calculated until 2006. <br />Table FS -2 breaks down resale activity from Table FS -1 into single - family and multifamily <br />resales. The following are key points observed from our analysis of this data. <br />Like across the Twin Cities Metro Area and the nation, pricing peaked in 2005 & 2006 at the <br />height of the real estate boom. The average and median sales price plateaued at roughly <br />$254,000 and $234,900 respectively. For comparison, the Twin Cities Metro Area median <br />sales priced peaked at $230,000 in 2006. <br />Between 2000 and 2005, the median sales price increased annually from $159,000 to <br />$234,900, a gain of 48 %. However, from 2005 to 2010 the median sales price declined to <br />$160,000 ( -32%). Since 2010, home resale prices have increased significantly rising to <br />$209,975 (31 %). <br />Sales prices increased between 2009 and 2010, mostly a result of the first -time homebuyer <br />tax credit that was available in the second half of 2009 through September 2010. The tax <br />credit also spurred transaction activity, resulting in nearly 400 sales in 2009 (17% over 2008 <br />sales). However, the sales price was at its lowest in 2009 at $132,000. Since 2011; the <br />median sales prices has rising annually and is at $209,975 ( +59%). <br />• The average number of resales has averaged about 405 sales annually during the last <br />decade. So far through June 2015, the number of sales has averaged 391. The years of <br />2013 and 2014 showed substantial improvement in sales from early this decade. <br />• The number of lender- mediated properties accounted for over one -half of all home <br />transactions between 2008 and 2012; peaking in 2010 and 2011 at 70 %. Since 2012, the <br />number has come down substantially and was at about 12% through the first half of 2015. <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC 59 <br />
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