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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY <br />Senior Housing Market Analysis <br />• There are eight senior housing facilities located in Elk River with a total of 412 units. There <br />were three vacant rental units and one ownership unit for sale at the time of the survey. <br />This equates to a vacancy rate of 1.0 %. This indicates a need for additional senior housing <br />units. <br />• Guardian Angels by the Lake are the only facility that offers senior housing with services. <br />The development contains 60 assisted living units and 30 memory care units. The recent <br />expansion absorbed quickly and the units have remained steadily occupied. <br />For -Sale Housing Market Analysis <br />The average and median resale price of homes in Elk River was approximately $216,840 and <br />$209,975 respectively as of June 2015. The median sales price over the last decade peaked <br />in 2005. From 2005 to 2011, median sales prices have declined by 44 %. Since 2011, the <br />median sale price has recovered increasing by 59% through June 2015. <br />• Home sales have remained relatively steady in Elk River with an average of roughly 400 <br />homes annually in Elk River since 2010. Considering that Elk River has a supply of nearly <br />6,500 owned homes in 2010, this represents turnover of almost 6% of the owned homes <br />annually. <br />The median list price of homes for sale in Elk River was about $245,960 in June 2015. Based <br />on a median list price of $245,960, a household would need an income of about $63,225 in <br />order to afford to make monthly housing payments of about $1,245 (assuming a 10% down <br />payment, 3.75% 30 -year fixed mortgage). A household with significantly more equity (in an <br />existing home and /or savings) could put more than 10% down and afford a higher priced <br />home. About 67.8% of Elk River households have annual incomes at or above $63,225. <br />As of July 2015, Elk River had a total of nearly 200 vacant lots within 25 subdivisions. All of <br />the subdivisions were platted between 2000 and 2014. Only 3% of Lots were platted after <br />2010. <br />• The lot supply benchmark for growing communities is a three- to five -year lot supply. This <br />supply of lots is appropriate as it provides adequate consumer choice but minimizes <br />developers' carrying costs. Given the number of existing platted lots and the annual <br />absorption of single - family lots over the past few years, we conclude that Elk River is <br />currently just under a three -year lot supply indicating the need for additional platted lots. <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC. <br />