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City of Elk River, Minnesota <br />SBH Properties, LLC Tax Abatement Project <br />October 17, 2016 <br />Page 2 <br /> <br />Due to the inequity of timing for the analysis between tax abatement revenues and debt service regarding total <br />number of years, we focused on the period of time in which the requested term of abatement would be in place <br />through 2030. We have assumed the building would commence in 2017 and the abatement in 2019. To understand <br />how an increase in the lease rate may impact the need for abatement assistance during this same period of time (14 <br />years) we made assumptions as to an alternate lease rate for the project. For illustration purposes, an increase in <br />the rental rate from $5/square foot to a blended rate of $5.50/square foot ($4.75 for industrial and $6.25 for office) <br />over the same period of time as the term of the City and County abatement assistance would result in increased <br />revenues for the project. An increase in annual lease revenues should result in an estimated decrease in the need <br />for City tax abatement revenues over that same period. See table below to outline this alternate analysis: <br /> <br /> Original Assumptions Alternate Assumptions <br />Lease Rate $5.00/SF $5.50/SF <br />Total Lease Revenues (14 Years) $931,840 $948,248 <br />Total Abatement Revenues (City) $85,167 $70,973 <br />Total Abatement Revenues (County) $77,595 $77,595 <br />Total Abatement Revenues $162,762 $148,567 <br /> <br />Number of Years City 12 10 <br />Number of Years County 10 10 <br /> <br />Total Estimated Revenues (14 Years) $1,094,602 $1,096,816 <br /> <br />An increase in the annual lease rate for the office portion of the project (with slight decrease in the industrial portion) <br />would result in an overall increase in annual cash flow for the project. Understanding the term of the debt service is <br />20 years and longer than the term of abatement assistance, we quantified what the increase in lease rates would do <br />to the need for the abatement assistance. To maintain an equal amount of total revenues through the abatement <br />period (12 years) we estimated a reduced term by approximately 2 years, resulting in a 10 year term for both the City <br />and County. <br /> <br />Based on our analysis of the provided annual cash flow, additional annual revenues through an increase in rental <br />incomes or other funding source) beyond the tax abatement would be needed to meet both the annual payments on <br />the first mortgage (with assistance) and equipment loan (with or without assistance) over a 20 year period (and <br />beyond the term of abatement assistance). Tax abatement revenues would be necessary, absent other annual <br />revenue increases, to support first mortgage debt payments. <br /> <br />Thank you for the opportunity to be of assistance to the City of Elk River. Please contact me at 651-223-3036 or <br />mhuot@springsted.com with any questions or to discuss. <br />