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CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES <br />Lender-mediated Properties. As illustrated in Table FS-1, lender-mediated properties have <br />declined substantially since the housing downturn and Great Rece <br />Lender mediated properties (i.e. foreclosures and short sales) a <br />transactions between 2009 and 2011 before declining annually since and comprising a <br />12% of transactions thus far in 2015. The continued decline in l-mediated properties <br />will enhance the overall real estate market and pricing will con <br />losses of last decade. The median sales price is still down about 10% <br />real estate market; hence some homeowners are still upside down <br />more and more homeowners regain lost equity, the real estate marce <br />strong velocity as many owners desire trade-up housing. <br /> <br />Lot Supply. Tables FS-9 and FS-10 inventoried active subdivisions with available lots. Based <br />on our research there are under than 200 finished vacant single-family lots, not included <br />scattered lots throughout the city. Based on this lot supply and the rece <br />activity over the past few years, the current finished lot inventory is very low and is less <br />than three years. Therefore, future lots will be needed to be cd lots to <br />meet this demand. Because of the time frame to deliver lots (i. <br />infrastructure, etc.) new platted lots should begin in 2016 to e <br />ample to support new construction throughout this decade. <br /> <br />Mortgage Rates. Mortgage rates play a crucial part in housing affordability. Lo <br />mortgage rates result in a lower monthly mortgage payment and bu <br />home for their dollar. Rising interest rates often require home <br />payment in order to maintain the same housing costs. Mortgage ra <br />historic lows over the past several years coming out of the Grea <br />Federal Reserve has indicated they may begin raising the Federals December <br />2015 and into 2016 that would result in an increase in interest <br />the rate hike has increased buyer activity in 2015 as buyers are <br />hoping to avoid rate increases. The anticipated increases are projected to be small; <br />although affordability will be affected most economists do not a <br />the short-term. Low mortgage rates have been critical for the housing reco <br />in a market like Elk River that was affected by significant lender-mediated properties. A <br />significant increase in rates (+1% or more; over 5% in the short <br />the housing market and would slow projected housing demand. <br /> <br />The following chart illustrates historical mortgage rate averages as compiled by Freddie <br />Mac. The Freddie Mac Market Survey (PMMS) has been tracking mor <br />and is the most relied upon benchmark for evaluating mortgage in <br />The Freddie Mac survey is based on 30-year mortgages with a loan-to-value of 80%. <br /> <br />113 <br />MAXFIELD RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC <br /> <br />