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ISeveral methods for assigning trips onto a network are available. Capacity <br /> restraint analysis is an iterative process whereby trips are assigned, the <br /> Inetwork is check for links whose assigned volumes exceed link capacity, <br /> travel times are adjusted upward on over-capacity links, and trips are <br /> The steps are reiterated until the network is balanced. This <br /> Ire-assigned. <br /> method shows how the network will be loaded after drivers adjust their travel <br /> behavior to compensate for congested areas, but it does not show how the <br /> network is loaded if every driver can take the most desired route. <br /> I All-or-nothing analysis, on the other hand, assigns every trip to its most <br /> desired path without considering segment capacities. Since the purpose of <br /> the Elk River Transportation Plan was to identify areas where congestion <br /> I could be anticipated in the future and provide solutions for these problem <br /> p p P <br /> areas so that the number of drivers forced by congestion onto alternate routes <br /> I could be minimized,we decided that an all-or-nothing analysis would be the <br /> most useful. It permits the planner to see where drivers want to travel, and <br /> to make changes to the system that encourage the driver to use that route. If <br /> Imore drivers can use their first choice routes through the network, fuel and <br /> travel time are saved. There is also a potential safety benefit in reduced <br /> congestion. <br /> A. Replication <br /> IThe first series of network assignments was a replication of the existing <br /> transportation system usage. The purpose behind the existing system was to arrive <br /> I at a combination of trip generation rates,trip distribution process and network link <br /> attributes that would accurately portray City travel patterns in an assignment. This <br /> combination would then be retained for travel demand forecasts. An initial <br /> I all-or-nothing assignment was made under the assumption that there is currently no <br /> location on the street network that drivers intentionally avoid because of a capacity <br /> deficiency. The assigned traffic volumes for each roadway segment were compared <br /> Iagainst actual field counted volume data. Segments whose assigned volumes differed <br /> to an unacceptable degree from actual volumes were noted. A series of screen lines <br /> I was used to check that there was an accurate representation of total volume traveling <br /> between one part of the City and another. (A screen line is a line drawn east-west or <br /> north-south across the entire City. Traffic volumes on all roadway segments crossing <br /> I the screenline are totaled and compared to the sum of existing volumes on the same <br /> segments.) Adjustments were made to trip generation rates,trip distribution and/or <br /> network link attributes, and a new assignment was made. This process was <br /> Icontinued until the existing system usage was satisfactorily replicated. <br /> B. Ultimate Forecast <br /> IThe trip generation rates and trip distribution process that were used in the final <br /> replication assignment were also used in the ultimate development assignment. Most <br /> Inetwork link attributes were also retained. However, there were a few notable <br /> exceptions. All county roads that had a 55 miles per hour speed in the replication <br /> I assignment were reduced to 45 miles per hour,because they would now be in fully <br /> developed areas. County Road 40 and 221st Avenue, both existing gravel roads, <br /> were assumed to be paved and straightened with speeds increased to 45 miles per <br /> ICTP-230.156 -17 230-156-80 <br />