5.0. PRSR 03-07-1990 - Laserfiche WebLink

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r Trend Reports 2 Issue No. 43, February 1990 Figure 1 Projected Change in Age Group Population 1986-2000 • 1.6 I +51% ::.:..... 1.4 •1496 ;<�: 1986 t.2 I 111 EINE7 2000 § 01111.1111,1 0.4 011 REINNI MOW (12 0111INSIE 15-34 35-54 Age Groups Demographic Projections The population in Minnesota for ages 7 and older is projected to increase by about 11 percent by 2000. This will contribute to an increase in outdoor recreation participation time,simply because there will be more people participating. • The changes in the number of people in different age groups will have a larger impact on outdoor recreation than overall population growth. The biggest shift will be from a large number of people in the young adult and middle aged groups to a proportionately larger number of people in the middle aged and older age groups. D By the year 2000,30 percent of Minnesota's population will be between the ages of 35 and 54,a 51 percent increase over the number of people in that age group in 1986. D By contrast,27 percent of Minnesota's population will be between the ages of 15 and 34,a 14 per- cent decrease from the number of people in that age group in 1986. Activity Projections The projected growth in Minnesota's population and the shift of a larger segment of the population to an older age group is expected to result in a ten percent increase in outdoor recreation time to a total of 930.9 million hours by the year 2000. • Just as in 1985,walking/hiking is again the These activities are projected to receive the most popular activity. Fishing,biking, largest share of the total increase in hours for pleasure driving,swimming and boating are also still in the top six,and in that order. 2000: • The activities projected to have the most in- 1 walldnglhiking 29.1% of projected increase crease in demand from the 1985 level are walk- ing/hiking(up 16 percent),golfing(also up 16 1▪ fishing 19.9% percent),and nature study(up 14 percent). On it pleasure driving 7.0% the other hand,demand for baseball and softball '� nature 5.8% is expected to decline by 4 percent,while that '/ nature study 5.8% Pac Y Pe t. Ifi ./ 5.1°6 for football and other field and net sports is ex- pected to show little growth. • Many other activities that are not related to the age of the participant or are preferred by age groups show a moderate increases in demand:sightseeing(12.1 fishing(12.0 percent);pleasure driv- ing v - ing(11.8 percent);camping(10.0 percent);boating(9.8 percent);huntin g(9.7 percent);and, cross- country skiing(8.6 percent). • • Forecasts for nonresident participation are for summer activities. Three activities account for 82 per- cent of the total projected increase: fishin g(46 percent of outdoor recreation time);camping(15 per_ Trend Reports Minnesota State Planning Agency s Y _ ',2 •a• ±mss- .: ;9 zi- '4' -'S ''TiFI.4i a+ S.�`' �,'�: $ah�.�: fita �-�.�;`