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INFORMATION 01-20-2015
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INFORMATION 01-20-2015
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the investments to maturity and don't realize any gains or losses. Interest income is the <br />revenue source we budget, but yet knowing prices of bonds are always changing. <br />The finance staff makes sure the city is sufficiently liquid by continually updating our <br />forecast on the anticipated cash flow needs over the next five -year time horizon. We also <br />build in a reserve balance in case of unexpected expenditures; these funds are maintained in <br />money market accounts. We anticipate we will have two large tax settlements each year, <br />along with the regularly - scheduled debt service payments. <br />Over the past couple of years, the search for quality has been the goal. We have avoided <br />commercial paper for close to three years due to concerns over the credit quality issues. In <br />addition, for high quality commercial paper, the yield is several basis points below a short - <br />term CD. The yield curve has remained relatively flat in the 30 -day to 1 -year range, but the <br />longer side has decreased slightly from September 30, 2014. This may also indicate that <br />investors still have a preference for liquidity and will take a lower yield for short -term secure <br />investments but it appears that outlook maybe starting to change. <br />The city has to weigh the opportunity cost to invest in longer term investments or ride the <br />yield curve and reinvest at shorter maturity intervals. Most recent purchases have been <br />credit quality municipals (Mums) and certificates of deposits (CDs). Munis and CDs have <br />been several basis points over agencies with call features. Investing in shorter -term <br />investments has presented far fewer options since the decline in the commercial paper <br />market. Treasury yields are still around historical lows but the longer end of the yield curve <br />has decreased since the beginning of the year. Three -month notes are yielding 0.04% and <br />the 10 -year notes are 2.17 %. See the graphical illustration below: <br />4.00% <br />3.00% <br />2.00% <br />1.00% <br />0.00% <br />Treasury Yield Curve <br />Cities generally use a short - horizon benchmark such as the two -year Treasury Bill (12/31 — <br />0.67% a slight increase from 0.58% as of 09/30) or some similar measure. Our current <br />portfolio yield is roughly 1.43% which is several basis points over the treasury yield <br />benchmark. This is calculated by taking the yield times the current value for each investment <br />and dividing the resulting amount by the total portfolio value. As investments purchased in <br />earlier years mature, we will be able to replace them and lock into some longer term interest <br />rates, but they may have to be reinvested at lower interest rates as market conditions change. <br />It is typical to lag the market as interest rates change. This will lead to more predictability in <br />our interest earnings. <br />
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