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INFORMATION 08-04-2014
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INFORMATION 08-04-2014
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the investments to maturity and don't realize any gains or losses. Interest income is the <br /> revenue source we budget,but yet knowing prices of bonds are always changing. <br /> The finance staff makes sure the city is sufficiently liquid by continually updating our <br /> forecast on the anticipated cash flow needs over the next five-year time horizon. We also <br /> build in a reserve balance in case of unexpected expenditures; these funds are maintained in <br /> money market accounts. We anticipate we will have two large tax settlements each year, <br /> along with the regularly-scheduled debt service payments. <br /> Over the past couple of years,the search for quality has been the goal. We have avoided <br /> commercial paper for close to three years due to concerns over the credit quality issues. In <br /> addition, for high quality commercial paper,the yield is several basis points below a short- <br /> term CD. The yield curve has remained relatively flat in the 30-day to 1-year range,but the <br /> longer side has decreased significantly from March 31, 2014. This may also indicate that <br /> investors still have a preference for liquidity and will take a lower yield for short-term secure <br /> investments but it appears that outlook maybe starting to change. <br /> The city has to weigh the opportunity cost to invest in longer term investments or ride the <br /> yield curve and reinvest at shorter maturity intervals. Most recent purchases have been <br /> credit quality municipals (Mums) and certificates of deposits (CDs). Munis and CDs have <br /> been several basis points over agencies with call features. Investing in shorter-term <br /> investments has presented far fewer options since the decline in the commercial paper <br /> market. Treasury yields are still around historical lows but the longer end of the yield curve <br /> has decreased since the beginning of the year. Three-month notes are yielding 0.04% and <br /> the 10-year notes are 2.53%. See the graphical illustration below: <br /> Treasury Yield Curve <br /> 4.00% <br /> 3.50% — <br /> 3.00 <br /> 2.50% <br /> 2.00% 03/31/2014 <br /> 1.50% 06/30/2014 <br /> 1.00% <br /> 0.50% <br /> 0.00% <br /> 1mo. 3 mo. 6 mo. 1yr. 2yr. 3yr. 5yr. 7yr. 10yr. 30yr. <br /> Cities generally use a short-horizon benchmark such as the two-year Treasury Bill (6/30— <br /> 0.47% a slight increase from 0.44% as of 06/30) or some similar measure. Our current <br /> portfolio yield is roughly 1.50%which is several basis points over the treasury yield <br /> benchmark. This is calculated by taking the yield times the current value for each investment <br /> and dividing the resulting amount by the total portfolio value. As investments purchased in <br /> earlier years mature,we will be able to replace them and lock into some longer term interest <br /> rates, but they may have to be reinvested at lower interest rates as market conditions change. <br />
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