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9.1. SR 01-21-2014
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9.1. SR 01-21-2014
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Criteria I Governments I U.S. Public Finance: U.S. Local Governments General Obligation Ratings:Methodology <br /> And Assumptions <br /> period in which these defaults occurred allows for an analysis of whether credits presumably defaulting in this period <br /> were also in states that defaulted. Table 17 provides this detail. <br /> Table 17 <br /> Reported Local Government Defaults In Defaulting And Nondefaulting States Over Various Periods(see <br /> paragraphs 19-23) <br /> Local defaults 1837-1843 Local defaults 1873-1880 Local defaults 1936 <br /> In states that defaulted 0 56 290 <br /> In states that did not default 2 85 2,869 <br /> Source:"Defaulted Municipal Bonds and Municipal Bonds,A Century of Experience" <br /> 90. Finally, Hillhouse's primary work, "Municipal Bonds,A Century of Experience", also lists municipal defaults by state <br /> during the Great Depression. Of the 3,159 credits in default as of January 1936, 290 were in Arkansas,the one state <br /> experiencing payment difficulties. Of this total however, 279 were school districts or other special districts.With <br /> regard to cities with populations of 10,000 or more in default,Arkansas had one out of nine such cities in default. In <br /> comparison, Ohio had 24 of 61 such cities in default, Michigan had 21 of 41,and New Jersey had 18 of 54. <br /> 91. Of course many other municipal defaults occurred between the periods referenced in table 17,and others have <br /> followed since, despite the lack of periods generating additional state payment defaults. Common reasons for these <br /> defaults include periods of overleveraging followed by a decline in local revenues,real estate or other development <br /> speculation, and fraud or mismanagement. Sometimes these defaults occurred in a regional pattern,while other times <br /> they were idiosyncratic. <br /> 92. Although no additional state defaults have occurred recently, several were significantly tested during the last recession. <br /> Despite budget gaps too large for one-item solutions, state cutbacks have posed no serious credit threat to municipal <br /> governments. The reduction of aid in some states has resulted in the need for local government adjustment,but,in our <br /> view,the size of these cutbacks in no way threatened the outright solvency of municipalities or their ability to service <br /> debt. <br /> IX. APPENDIX III: Changes Since The Request For Comment <br /> 93. On March 6, 2012 Standard&Poor's published"Request For Comment: U.S. Local Governments: Methodology And <br /> Assumptions". Market participants who responded were generally positive about the increased transparency and <br /> clarity of the criteria. Some of them provided specific comments about certain metrics, data sources. and weighting of <br /> analytical factors(see"What's Happening With The Proposed U.S. Local Government Criteria?An Update On <br /> Feedback And Implementation",published Sept. 19, 2012). These comments and further analysis led to the following <br /> main changes between the criteria and the proposal presented in the RFC: <br /> • Several overriding factors have been added(see table 2).Among them are:Available Fund Balance of less than <br /> $500,000, a budgetary flexibility score of'5', and exhibiting characteristics of structural imbalance. <br /> • The positive qualitative adjustment for participation in a broad and diversified economy in the economic score has <br /> been modified to reflect a more-robust analysis of MSAs to help determine if the adjustment will be made. <br /> • To further augment the forward-looking nature of our analysis,positive and negative qualitative adjustments have <br /> WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT SEPTEMBER 12,2013 33 <br /> 1190266 1300881696 <br />
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