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City of Elk River, Minnesota <br /> Preliminary Financial Analysis of Blackhawk Woods TIF Application <br /> 10/16/2013 <br /> Page 10 <br /> in this memo, based on current assumptions it would take approximately 23 years of the district to meet the request. <br /> The need for TIF assistance can be evaluated on an annual basis, due to the reduced operating revenues resulting <br /> from the affordable units and will remain the case as long as a portion of the units are income restricted. As a result, <br /> the length of time the City desires to maintain the affordable housing units may become a factor in determining the <br /> level and amount of TIF assistance. <br /> Following discussion at the October 7 HRA meeting, Springsted has prepared several alternate scenarios to <br /> understand the impact that a market value inflator would have on the term of the pay-go repayment. A 1% annual <br /> market value inflator has been estimated to result in a reduced repayment term of 20 years and a 2%annual market <br /> value inflator has been estimated to reduce the term further to 18 years. In order for the repayment term to be <br /> reduced to a 15-year term, a 4%annual market value inflator would need to be realized. <br /> In some cases, there may be opportunities to fill a portion of the gap by other means—thereby reducing the required <br /> TIF subsidy and/or term. The developer could consider deferring a portion of the upfront developer fee, rental rates <br /> might also be able to be increased if the project proves successful, however the rates are ultimately dictated by both <br /> market and income requirements of TIF Districts, actual project costs may be less than projected, and finally, a <br /> reduction in the TIF note interest rate (from 4.70%) may also be considered but currently matches the term of the <br /> anticipated second mortgage and a reduced rate may cause an additional gap. <br /> As illustrated in our analysis outlined above, it appears the project is infeasible without assistance absent significant <br /> changes to either the equity investment, project cost assumptions, or projected operating income. Given our review <br /> of the current assumptions it appears as if changes of this magnitude are unlikely to be realized. Therefore, we feel <br /> the proposed project is unlikely to proceed but-for the requested TIF assistance. <br /> Additionally, if the City were to undertake the provision of TIF assistance for the project, the duration of the District <br /> would need to be determined. The Developer has indicated a request for a TIF District term of 25 years, to allow <br /> them to maximize the additional mortgage they could secure based on the TIF revenue. If a TIF duration of a shorter <br /> period were to be utilized it would require the Developer satisfy a $266,137 financing gap through additional equity, <br /> reduction in project costs that would not impact the tax credit allocation, or increased mortgage amount. <br /> It is important to note that the project will be providing affordable senior housing in the City of Elk River. Without the <br /> tax increment assistance, the developer has indicated he is not able to proceed with the project due to rent <br /> restrictions required. Thank you for the opportunity to be of assistance to the City of Elk River. Please contact me at <br /> (651)223-3036 or mhuot(@springsted.com with any questions or comments. <br />