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City of Elk River, Minnesota <br /> Preliminary Financial Analysis of Blackhawk Woods TIF Application <br /> 10/03/2013 <br /> Page 8 <br /> The second step in calculating the return to the Developer is to determine if the operating revenues and expenses <br /> are reasonable. <br /> • The Developer proposes average rental rates of $632 per month for the one-bedroom units and $895 per <br /> month for the two bedroom units. The rental rates will be limited based on the requirements of the Tax Credit <br /> program and tax increment statutes, assuming tax increment financing is provided to the project <br /> • The Developer is assuming operating expenses related to administration, utilities/trash, operations & <br /> maintenance, real estate taxes, insurance, and replacement reserves. <br /> The third step in performing an internal rate of return analysis is to assume a hypothetical sale of the asset at the end <br /> of the pro forma review period, which in this case is 10 years. The use of a hypothetical sale in this analysis is only <br /> for purposes of calculating the potential return to the Developer, and is by no means indicative of the likelihood of a <br /> sale in Year 10. In order to accurately perform the return analysis all assets have to be converted to a cash position <br /> at the end of the pro forma, in order to calculate the return on the initial equity investment. The Developer has <br /> indicated they intend to own and lease the building for an extended term greater than the 10 years we analyzed in <br /> calculating the return. For the purpose of accounting for the value of the asset in year 10 of the operating pro forma, <br /> we used a capitalization rate of 6.5%to determine the development value. <br /> The table below shows the result of our pro forma analysis based on the project costs and operating information <br /> provided by the Developer. <br /> Base Pro Forma With TIF Without TIF <br /> Assistance Assistance <br /> Estimated Leveraged IRR 17.90% 3.90% <br /> There is no set IRR benchmark that dictates whether a project needs TIF assistance or not. There are general <br /> market indicators that determine a project should be"doable"with a 10-year average return of 10-20%. However this <br /> is only an indicator and may or may not apply for each individual project, especially in today's market, and there may <br /> be other factors impacting the developer's ability to proceed. The developer has stated that the project will not occur <br /> without TIF assistance. Therefore, the City should view the IRR calculations as one factor in arriving at a decision for <br /> this particular project. <br /> An additional measure of project feasibility is the Debt Coverage Ratio (DCR), which is a calculation detailing the <br /> ratio by which operating income exceeds the debt-service payments for the project. If the DCR is greater than 1.0 it <br /> indicates the project has operating income that is greater than the debt-service payment by some margin; conversely <br /> if the DCR is less than 1.0 it indicates the project is incapable of meeting its debt-service payment and would need to <br /> seek additional revenue sources in order to pay its debt. Typical lending standards will require a DCR of greater than <br />