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Scenarios 2 and 3 largely consist of commercial/retail land use with 75% impervious and <br />95% respectively. Scenario 3 represents the most extreme development scenario with <br />respect to impervious surfaces. Storm water management for any scenario can be provided <br />• through a combination of wet detention ponds and infiltration features. The soils within <br />the study area will likely provide ideal conditions for achieving volume reduction and <br />pollutant reduction through the use of infiltration. <br />' The City will require a 60% removal of total phosphorus and total suspended solids from <br />the post-construction developed condition. Any development will also be required to meet <br />' the requirements of the NPDES permit. In addition, it is anticipated that development will <br />need to meet the ORVW requirements of the State and therefore, no increase in storm <br />water runoff volume or pollutant loads from the 1988 baseline land use condition will be <br />t allowed. Therefore, infiltration of storm water to meet these requirements will be required. <br />Traffic Analysis (Item 21) <br />' The analysis included evaluating traffic impacts in the 171St Avenue AUAR study area for <br />the existing 2011 no build, 2013 no build (beginning of development Phase 1), Phase 1 <br />development completed, Phase 2 development completed and full development of the area <br />' (development Phase 3 - 5 competed) for all three future land use Scenarios. Each <br />development Scenario contains a mixture of residential and commercial uses as well as a <br />transit center and open space. <br />The future land develo ment will have a si nificant im act on the o erations of <br />P g P P <br />' intersections in the project area. The increased trips from development scenarios were <br />used to forecast future traffic volumes and evaluate traffic operations on the roadway <br />system within the study area. <br />The existing 2011 No-Build conditions were analyzed to determine the current level of <br />operations of the study area and to set a baseline in determining what future roadway <br />improvement are needed and when they may be required. The results concluded that the <br />' intersections on TH 10 / 169 currently experience operational issues during both the AM <br />and PM peak hours and that with any development some level of improvements will be <br />' required. <br />The 2013 No-Build analysis indicates that with closing of the 173rd Avenue intersection (with <br />' Mn/DOT mill and overlay project) and with only background traffic growth (no development <br />traffic), the intersection of TH 10 / 169 and 171St Avenue will be operating at a LOS F in the <br />PM peak hour. In order to mitigate this deficiency a dual left turn lane would be needed for <br />' southbound TH 10 / 169 to eastbound 171St Avenue to improve the overall intersection LOS <br />to D. <br />At the completion of Phase 1 development, the analysis results indicates that with any <br />development scenario the intersection of TH 10 / 169 and 171St Avenue will be operating <br />at a LOS F in the PM peak hour. In order to mitigate these deficiencies a dual left turn lane <br />' would be needed for westbound 171St Avenue to southbound TH 10 / 169 and the <br />installation of a traffic signal at the new TH 10 / 169 and Twin- Lakes Parkway intersection <br />City of Elk River <br />' Draft Alternative Urban Areawide Review <br />August 2011 Page 7 of 90 <br />