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INFORMATION 08-01-2011
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INFORMATION 08-01-2011
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INFORMATION <br />The City makes sure we are sufficiently liquid by continually updating our forecast on the <br />anticipated cash flow needs over the next five year time horizon. We also build in a reserve <br />balance incase of unexpected expenditures, these funds are maintained in money market <br />accounts. We anticipate the fact that we will have two large tax settlements each year, along <br />with the regularly scheduled debt service payments that occur each year. <br />Over the past couple of years the search for quality has been the goal, thus we have avoided <br />commercial paper for close to two years due to concerns over the credit quality issues that <br />have existed. In addition, for high quality commercial paper the yield is several basis points <br />below ashort-term CD. The yield curve has remained relatively flat in the 30 day to year <br />range, but the longer side has also decreased from March 31, 2011. This may also indicate <br />that investors still prefer liquidity and will take a lower yield for short-term and secure <br />investments. <br />The City has to weigh the opportunity cost to invest in longer term investments or ride the <br />yield curve and reinvest at shorter maturity intervals. Most recent purchases have been <br />agencies with callable provisions as interest rates step-up, these are somewhat predictable of <br />when they will be called and are aligned with our cash flow model. Investing in shorter-term <br />investments has presented far fewer options since the decline in the commercial paper <br />market. Treasury yields are still around historical lows. Three month notes are yielding <br />0.03% and the ten year notes are 3.18%. See graphical illustration below: <br />http: / /www.ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest- <br />rate <br />/ ield_histotical.shtml <br />Treasury Yield Curve <br />3 <br />5.00% <br />4.00% <br />3.00% -*-03/31/2011 <br />2.00% <br />1.00% -~-06/30/2011 <br />0.00% <br />lmo. 3mo. 6mo. lyr. 2yr. Syr. Syr. Tyr. 10yr. 30yr. <br />Cities generally use a short horizon benchmark such as the two year Treasury Bill (6/30 - <br />.45% down from .80% at 3/31) or some similax measure. C-ur current portfolio yield is <br />roughly 1.28% which is several basis points over the treasury yield benchmark. This is <br />calculated by taking the yield times the current value for each investment and dividing the <br />resulting amount by the total portfolio value. As investments purchased in earlier years <br />mature we will be able to replace them and lock into some longer term interest rates, but <br />they may have to be reinvested at lower interest rates as market conditions change. It is very <br />typical to lag the market as interest rates change. This will lead to more predictability in our <br />interest earnings. <br />C-ur primary reserve account is our 4M Fund which is a money market account that various <br />cities pool their funds into. It currently yields .02% with daily withdrawal privileges. We are <br />currently maintaining a higher liquidity position as 70% of the 1S` half tax settlement was <br />received at the end of June and several investments will mature in the upcoming months. We <br />
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